Luzhou Lao (China) Price Prediction

000568 Stock   136.88  0.59  0.43%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Luzhou Lao's the stock price is about 60. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Luzhou, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Luzhou Lao's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Luzhou Lao Jiao, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Luzhou Lao's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.025
EPS Estimate Current Year
9.6633
EPS Estimate Next Year
11.2104
Wall Street Target Price
168.9847
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
2.74
Using Luzhou Lao hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Luzhou Lao Jiao from the perspective of Luzhou Lao response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Luzhou Lao to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Luzhou because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Luzhou Lao after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 142.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Luzhou Lao Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
109.21113.06150.57
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.332.422.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Luzhou Lao. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Luzhou Lao's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Luzhou Lao's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Luzhou Lao Jiao.

Luzhou Lao After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Luzhou Lao at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Luzhou Lao or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Luzhou Lao, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Luzhou Lao Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Luzhou Lao's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Luzhou Lao's historical news coverage. Luzhou Lao's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 123.19 and 146.31, respectively. We have considered Luzhou Lao's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
136.88
123.19
Downside
142.46
After-hype Price
146.31
Upside
Luzhou Lao is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Luzhou Lao Jiao is based on 3 months time horizon.

Luzhou Lao Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Luzhou Lao is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Luzhou Lao backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Luzhou Lao, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.41 
3.85
  5.58 
  0.05 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
136.88
142.46
4.08 
28.29  
Notes

Luzhou Lao Hype Timeline

Luzhou Lao Jiao is presently traded for 136.88on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 5.58, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Luzhou is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 142.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 28.29%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 4.08%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Luzhou Lao is about 2933.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 136.93. Luzhou Lao generates positive cash flow from operations, but has no cash availableAssuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Luzhou Lao Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Luzhou Lao Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Luzhou Lao's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Luzhou Lao's future price movements. Getting to know how Luzhou Lao's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Luzhou Lao may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002594BYD Co Ltd 0.45 2 per month 1.91  0.08  5.74 (3.34) 14.84 
600941China Mobile Limited 0.71 2 per month 1.18 (0.08) 2.05 (2.04) 8.38 
601288Agricultural Bank of(0.15)1 per month 1.97 (0.06) 3.21 (3.89) 8.24 
601398Industrial and Commercial(0.04)3 per month 1.58 (0.06) 2.83 (3.06) 8.14 
601668China State Construction 0.02 1 per month 2.48  0.01  5.25 (3.97) 15.78 
601939China Construction Bank 0.01 2 per month 1.76 (0.04) 3.32 (3.86) 8.64 
601857PetroChina Co Ltd(0.09)2 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.43 (3.33) 17.17 
601988Bank of China 0.14 3 per month 1.51 (0.03) 2.67 (2.86) 7.70 

Luzhou Lao Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Luzhou price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Luzhou using various technical indicators. When you analyze Luzhou charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Luzhou Lao Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Luzhou Lao stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Luzhou Lao Jiao, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Luzhou Lao based on analysis of Luzhou Lao hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Luzhou Lao's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Luzhou Lao's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Luzhou Lao

The number of cover stories for Luzhou Lao depends on current market conditions and Luzhou Lao's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Luzhou Lao is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Luzhou Lao's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Luzhou Lao Short Properties

Luzhou Lao's future price predictability will typically decrease when Luzhou Lao's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Luzhou Lao Jiao often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Luzhou Lao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luzhou Lao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B

Complementary Tools for Luzhou Stock analysis

When running Luzhou Lao's price analysis, check to measure Luzhou Lao's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Luzhou Lao is operating at the current time. Most of Luzhou Lao's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Luzhou Lao's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Luzhou Lao's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Luzhou Lao to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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