Vanfund Urban (China) Price Prediction
| 000638 Stock | 5.37 0.18 3.24% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
71
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.547 |
Using Vanfund Urban hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vanfund Urban Investment from the perspective of Vanfund Urban response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vanfund Urban to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vanfund because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vanfund Urban after-hype prediction price | CNY 5.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vanfund |
Vanfund Urban After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vanfund Urban at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vanfund Urban or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vanfund Urban, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vanfund Urban Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vanfund Urban's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vanfund Urban's historical news coverage. Vanfund Urban's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.90 and 9.20, respectively. We have considered Vanfund Urban's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vanfund Urban is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vanfund Urban Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vanfund Urban Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vanfund Urban is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vanfund Urban backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vanfund Urban, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.84 | 3.69 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.37 | 5.55 | 0.00 |
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Vanfund Urban Hype Timeline
Vanfund Urban Investment is presently traded for 5.37on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.07. Vanfund is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.84%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vanfund Urban is about 4677.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.44. About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of November 2008. Vanfund Urban Investment had 20:10 split on the 10th of April 2013. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Vanfund Urban Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vanfund Urban Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vanfund Urban's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vanfund Urban's future price movements. Getting to know how Vanfund Urban's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vanfund Urban may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 300841 | Chengdu Kanghua Biological | (1.73) | 1 per month | 3.41 | 0.03 | 4.85 | (5.63) | 32.68 | |
| 603392 | Beijing Wantai Biological | 1.40 | 1 per month | 2.03 | 0.02 | 3.90 | (3.21) | 16.51 | |
| 688137 | Suzhou Novoprotein Scientific | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.60 | 0.05 | 5.14 | (3.13) | 22.24 | |
| 601600 | Aluminum Corp of | 0.46 | 5 per month | 2.69 | 0.07 | 6.09 | (3.93) | 17.74 | |
| 300364 | COL Digital Publishing | (0.52) | 1 per month | 4.27 | 0.12 | 9.53 | (7.32) | 34.75 | |
| 001299 | Shaanxi Meineng Clean | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | 0.06 | 4.14 | (3.42) | 15.29 | |
| 000995 | Gansu Huangtai Wine marketing | 2.02 | 1 per month | 4.01 | 0.12 | 10.00 | (6.74) | 20.01 | |
| 600223 | Lushang Property Co | 0.08 | 1 per month | 2.36 | 0.02 | 4.58 | (3.11) | 16.41 | |
| 605168 | Threes Company Media | (1.00) | 2 per month | 3.14 | 0.1 | 8.18 | (5.78) | 19.99 |
Vanfund Urban Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vanfund price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vanfund using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vanfund charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vanfund Urban Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vanfund Urban stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vanfund Urban Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vanfund Urban based on analysis of Vanfund Urban hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vanfund Urban's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vanfund Urban's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Vanfund Urban
The number of cover stories for Vanfund Urban depends on current market conditions and Vanfund Urban's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vanfund Urban is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vanfund Urban's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vanfund Urban Short Properties
Vanfund Urban's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vanfund Urban's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vanfund Urban Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vanfund Urban's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vanfund Urban's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 310.8 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29 M |
Complementary Tools for Vanfund Stock analysis
When running Vanfund Urban's price analysis, check to measure Vanfund Urban's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vanfund Urban is operating at the current time. Most of Vanfund Urban's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vanfund Urban's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vanfund Urban's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vanfund Urban to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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