City Development (China) Price Prediction

000885 Stock   13.38  0.22  1.62%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of City Development's the stock price is about 69. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling City, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

69

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of City Development's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with City Development Environment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting City Development's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.317
Wall Street Target Price
17.29
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.162
Using City Development hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of City Development Environment from the perspective of City Development response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in City Development to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying City because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

City Development after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 13.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out City Development Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.0410.8713.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4413.2716.11
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as City Development. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against City Development's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, City Development's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in City Development Env.

City Development After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of City Development at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in City Development or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of City Development, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

City Development Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting City Development's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on City Development's historical news coverage. City Development's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.41 and 16.07, respectively. We have considered City Development's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.38
13.24
After-hype Price
16.07
Upside
City Development is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of City Development Env is based on 3 months time horizon.

City Development Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as City Development is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading City Development backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with City Development, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.39 
2.83
  0.14 
  0.11 
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.38
13.24
1.05 
808.57  
Notes

City Development Hype Timeline

City Development Env is presently traded for 13.38on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. City is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.05%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on City Development is about 1010.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.49. About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.06. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. City Development Env last dividend was issued on the 11th of July 2024. The entity had 13:10 split on the 2nd of April 2013. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out City Development Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

City Development Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to City Development's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict City Development's future price movements. Getting to know how City Development's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how City Development may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

City Development Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine City price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for City using various technical indicators. When you analyze City charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About City Development Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of City Development stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as City Development Environment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of City Development based on analysis of City Development hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to City Development's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to City Development's related companies.

Story Coverage note for City Development

The number of cover stories for City Development depends on current market conditions and City Development's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that City Development is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about City Development's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

City Development Short Properties

City Development's future price predictability will typically decrease when City Development's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of City Development Environment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential City Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. City Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding642.1 M

Complementary Tools for City Stock analysis

When running City Development's price analysis, check to measure City Development's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy City Development is operating at the current time. Most of City Development's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of City Development's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move City Development's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of City Development to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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