Hengkang Medical (China) Price Prediction

002219 Stock   2.61  0.15  5.43%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Hengkang Medical's share price is above 70 at the present time. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Hengkang, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

71

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hengkang Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hengkang Medical Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hengkang Medical's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Using Hengkang Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hengkang Medical Group from the perspective of Hengkang Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hengkang Medical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hengkang because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hengkang Medical after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 2.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Hengkang Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.186.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.846.97
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Hengkang Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hengkang Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hengkang Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hengkang Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hengkang Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hengkang Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hengkang Medical's historical news coverage. Hengkang Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.14 and 6.89, respectively. We have considered Hengkang Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.61
2.76
After-hype Price
6.89
Upside
Hengkang Medical is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hengkang Medical is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hengkang Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hengkang Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hengkang Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hengkang Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.75 
4.21
 0.00  
  0.30 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.61
2.76
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Hengkang Medical Hype Timeline

Hengkang Medical is presently traded for 2.61on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.3. Hengkang is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.75%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hengkang Medical is about 1055.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.31. About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Hengkang Medical was presently reported as 0.68. The company last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2014. Hengkang Medical had 25:10 split on the 28th of October 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Hengkang Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hengkang Medical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hengkang Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hengkang Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Hengkang Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hengkang Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601668China State Construction(0.04)1 per month 2.40  0.03  5.25 (3.97) 15.78 
600048Poly Real Estate(0.03)2 per month 2.85  0.07  5.32 (3.33) 20.02 
000002China Vanke Co 0.88 2 per month 2.65  0.09  8.70 (3.84) 20.01 
001979China Merchants Shekou 0.09 1 per month 3.03  0.08  4.99 (4.33) 19.96 
600325Huafa Industrial Co(0.08)1 per month 2.64  0.04  6.36 (3.51) 20.03 
601995China International Capital 0.45 2 per month 2.72  0.09  8.00 (4.56) 20.01 
600519Kweichow Moutai Co 0.00 0 per month 1.80  0.02  6.55 (2.98) 16.71 
600153Xiamen CD 0.00 0 per month 2.01  0.11  6.39 (2.49) 19.45 
300750Contemporary Amperex Technology(5.26)2 per month 2.93  0.15  7.94 (3.40) 33.42 
600340China Fortune Land 0.00 1 per month 3.93  0.27  10.14 (9.70) 20.27 

Hengkang Medical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hengkang price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hengkang using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hengkang charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hengkang Medical Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hengkang Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hengkang Medical Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hengkang Medical based on analysis of Hengkang Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hengkang Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hengkang Medical's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Hengkang Medical

The number of cover stories for Hengkang Medical depends on current market conditions and Hengkang Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hengkang Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hengkang Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Hengkang Medical Short Properties

Hengkang Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hengkang Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hengkang Medical Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hengkang Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hengkang Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.4 B

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