Chengdu Xinzhu (China) Price Prediction

002480 Stock   4.72  0.16  3.51%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Chengdu Xinzhu's the stock price is about 63. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Chengdu, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Chengdu Xinzhu's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chengdu Xinzhu RoadBridge, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Chengdu Xinzhu's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
33.9
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.059
Using Chengdu Xinzhu hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chengdu Xinzhu RoadBridge from the perspective of Chengdu Xinzhu response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chengdu Xinzhu to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chengdu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Chengdu Xinzhu after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 4.72  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Chengdu Xinzhu Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.313.707.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.004.407.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chengdu Xinzhu. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chengdu Xinzhu's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chengdu Xinzhu's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chengdu Xinzhu RoadBridge.

Chengdu Xinzhu After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Chengdu Xinzhu at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chengdu Xinzhu or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chengdu Xinzhu, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Chengdu Xinzhu Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Chengdu Xinzhu's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chengdu Xinzhu's historical news coverage. Chengdu Xinzhu's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.33 and 8.11, respectively. We have considered Chengdu Xinzhu's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.72
4.72
After-hype Price
8.11
Upside
Chengdu Xinzhu is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chengdu Xinzhu RoadBridge is based on 3 months time horizon.

Chengdu Xinzhu Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chengdu Xinzhu is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chengdu Xinzhu backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chengdu Xinzhu, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.60 
3.39
 0.00  
  0.53 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.72
4.72
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Chengdu Xinzhu Hype Timeline

Chengdu Xinzhu RoadBridge is presently traded for 4.72on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.53. Chengdu is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.6%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chengdu Xinzhu is about 382.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.25. About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Chengdu Xinzhu was presently reported as 1.51. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.5. Chengdu Xinzhu RoadBridge last dividend was issued on the 28th of May 2018. The entity had 20:10 split on the 15th of May 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Chengdu Xinzhu Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Chengdu Xinzhu Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Chengdu Xinzhu's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chengdu Xinzhu's future price movements. Getting to know how Chengdu Xinzhu's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chengdu Xinzhu may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Chengdu Xinzhu Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Chengdu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chengdu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chengdu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Chengdu Xinzhu Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Chengdu Xinzhu stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chengdu Xinzhu RoadBridge, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chengdu Xinzhu based on analysis of Chengdu Xinzhu hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chengdu Xinzhu's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chengdu Xinzhu's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Chengdu Xinzhu

The number of cover stories for Chengdu Xinzhu depends on current market conditions and Chengdu Xinzhu's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chengdu Xinzhu is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chengdu Xinzhu's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Chengdu Xinzhu Short Properties

Chengdu Xinzhu's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chengdu Xinzhu's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chengdu Xinzhu RoadBridge often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chengdu Xinzhu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chengdu Xinzhu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding769.2 M
Dividends Paid205.5 M
Shares Float459.2 M

Complementary Tools for Chengdu Stock analysis

When running Chengdu Xinzhu's price analysis, check to measure Chengdu Xinzhu's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chengdu Xinzhu is operating at the current time. Most of Chengdu Xinzhu's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chengdu Xinzhu's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chengdu Xinzhu's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chengdu Xinzhu to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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