Choil Aluminum (Korea) Price Prediction
| 018470 Stock | 1,532 26.00 1.73% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Choil Aluminum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Choil Aluminum from the perspective of Choil Aluminum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Choil Aluminum to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Choil because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Choil Aluminum after-hype prediction price | KRW 1532.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Choil |
Choil Aluminum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Choil Aluminum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Choil Aluminum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Choil Aluminum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Choil Aluminum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Choil Aluminum's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Choil Aluminum's historical news coverage. Choil Aluminum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,530 and 1,534, respectively. We have considered Choil Aluminum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Choil Aluminum is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Choil Aluminum is based on 3 months time horizon.
Choil Aluminum Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Choil Aluminum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Choil Aluminum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Choil Aluminum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1,532 | 1,532 | 0.00 |
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Choil Aluminum Hype Timeline
Choil Aluminum is presently traded for 1,532on Korea Stock Exchange of Korea. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Choil is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Choil Aluminum is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,532. About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.77. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Choil Aluminum last dividend was issued on the 27th of December 2017. The entity had 10:1 split on the 18th of April 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Choil Aluminum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Choil Aluminum Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Choil Aluminum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Choil Aluminum's future price movements. Getting to know how Choil Aluminum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Choil Aluminum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 025550 | Hankuk Steel Wire | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.75 | (2.09) | 5.43 | |
| 284740 | Cuckoo Homesys Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.71 | (2.77) | 8.41 | |
| 014530 | Kukdong Oil Chemicals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.19 | (2.43) | 8.21 | |
| 002220 | Hanil Iron Steel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.30 | (2.92) | 8.18 | |
| 060560 | Home Center Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.36 | (4.30) | 20.70 | |
| 041020 | Polaris Office Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.04 | (0.01) | 8.32 | (4.88) | 21.83 | |
| 068290 | Samsung Publishing Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.35 | (4.88) | 26.33 | |
| 104480 | TK Chemical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.38 | (2.41) | 7.19 |
Choil Aluminum Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Choil price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Choil using various technical indicators. When you analyze Choil charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Choil Aluminum Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Choil Aluminum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Choil Aluminum, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Choil Aluminum based on analysis of Choil Aluminum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Choil Aluminum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Choil Aluminum's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Choil Aluminum
The number of cover stories for Choil Aluminum depends on current market conditions and Choil Aluminum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Choil Aluminum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Choil Aluminum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Choil Aluminum Short Properties
Choil Aluminum's future price predictability will typically decrease when Choil Aluminum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Choil Aluminum often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Choil Aluminum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Choil Aluminum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 122.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Choil Stock analysis
When running Choil Aluminum's price analysis, check to measure Choil Aluminum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Choil Aluminum is operating at the current time. Most of Choil Aluminum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Choil Aluminum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Choil Aluminum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Choil Aluminum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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