Norwegian Air (UK) Price Prediction

0FGH Stock   11.25  0.36  3.31%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Norwegian Air's share price is approaching 46. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Norwegian Air, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Norwegian Air's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Norwegian Air and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Norwegian Air's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Norwegian Air Shuttle, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Norwegian Air's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.329
Using Norwegian Air hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Norwegian Air Shuttle from the perspective of Norwegian Air response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Norwegian Air to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Norwegian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Norwegian Air after-hype prediction price

    
  NOK 11.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Norwegian Air Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.289.5012.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.6910.9114.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7311.0611.39
Details

Norwegian Air After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Norwegian Air at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Norwegian Air or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Norwegian Air, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Norwegian Air Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Norwegian Air's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Norwegian Air's historical news coverage. Norwegian Air's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.97 and 14.41, respectively. We have considered Norwegian Air's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.25
11.19
After-hype Price
14.41
Upside
Norwegian Air is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Norwegian Air Shuttle is based on 3 months time horizon.

Norwegian Air Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Norwegian Air is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Norwegian Air backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Norwegian Air, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
3.22
  0.06 
  0.19 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.25
11.19
0.53 
607.55  
Notes

Norwegian Air Hype Timeline

Norwegian Air Shuttle is presently traded for 11.25on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.19. Norwegian is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.19. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.53%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Norwegian Air is about 200.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.06. About 19.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Norwegian Air Shuttle had 0.01:1 split on the 18th of December 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Norwegian Air Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Norwegian Air Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Norwegian Air's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Norwegian Air's future price movements. Getting to know how Norwegian Air's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Norwegian Air may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SMSDSamsung Electronics Co 7.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.25) 2.80 (3.78) 10.21 
SMSNSamsung Electronics Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25) 3.19 (4.02) 13.39 
HYUDHyundai Motor(0.80)3 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.76 (3.64) 12.58 
TYTToyota Motor Corp(19.00)3 per month 2.14 (0.04) 3.04 (3.19) 12.68 
RIGDReliance Industries Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25) 2.47 (2.70) 7.89 
0R15SoftBank Group Corp 0.00 0 per month 2.64  0.01  5.13 (4.30) 13.37 
HHPDHon Hai Precision(0.04)2 per month 1.79  0.02  3.14 (3.02) 8.38 
SBIDState Bank of 0.00 0 per month 1.36 (0.05) 2.44 (2.41) 8.15 

Norwegian Air Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Norwegian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Norwegian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Norwegian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Norwegian Air Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Norwegian Air stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Norwegian Air Shuttle, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Norwegian Air based on analysis of Norwegian Air hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Norwegian Air's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Norwegian Air's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Norwegian Air

The number of cover stories for Norwegian Air depends on current market conditions and Norwegian Air's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Norwegian Air is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Norwegian Air's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for Norwegian Stock Analysis

When running Norwegian Air's price analysis, check to measure Norwegian Air's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Norwegian Air is operating at the current time. Most of Norwegian Air's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Norwegian Air's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Norwegian Air's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Norwegian Air to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.