Vivendi SA (UK) Price Prediction
| 0IIF Stock | EUR 8.60 0.11 1.26% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
31
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.65) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 |
Using Vivendi SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vivendi SA from the perspective of Vivendi SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vivendi SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vivendi because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vivendi SA after-hype prediction price | EUR 8.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vivendi |
Vivendi SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vivendi SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vivendi SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vivendi SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vivendi SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vivendi SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vivendi SA's historical news coverage. Vivendi SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.13 and 9.95, respectively. We have considered Vivendi SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vivendi SA is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vivendi SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vivendi SA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vivendi SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vivendi SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vivendi SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.41 | 0.06 | 0.52 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.60 | 8.54 | 0.70 |
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Vivendi SA Hype Timeline
Vivendi SA is presently traded for 8.60on London IL of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.52. Vivendi is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.54. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.7%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Vivendi SA is about 64.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.12. About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.5. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Vivendi SA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.63. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.97. The firm last dividend was issued on the 25th of April 2023. Vivendi SA had 31:30 split on the 9th of May 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be very soon. Check out Vivendi SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vivendi SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vivendi SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vivendi SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Vivendi SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vivendi SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LWI | Lowland Investment Co | 1.00 | 3 per month | 0.83 | (0.12) | 1.61 | (1.20) | 4.70 | |
| 0L8F | Southwest Airlines Co | 0.49 | 4 per month | 1.76 | 0.07 | 3.35 | (3.17) | 11.66 | |
| TMIP | Taylor Maritime Investments | (2.00) | 1 per month | 1.46 | (0.06) | 2.62 | (2.31) | 6.90 | |
| ATR | Schroders Investment Trusts | (1.00) | 2 per month | 0.66 | (0.03) | 1.49 | (1.24) | 4.71 | |
| MNKS | Monks Investment Trust | 2.00 | 3 per month | 0.48 | 0.09 | 1.72 | (1.22) | 4.05 | |
| SSON | Smithson Investment Trust | 18.00 | 2 per month | 0.57 | (0.02) | 1.65 | (1.12) | 4.08 | |
| OIT | Odyssean Investment Trust | (3.25) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.41 | (2.56) | 7.74 |
Vivendi SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vivendi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vivendi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vivendi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vivendi SA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vivendi SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vivendi SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vivendi SA based on analysis of Vivendi SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vivendi SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vivendi SA's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Vivendi SA
The number of cover stories for Vivendi SA depends on current market conditions and Vivendi SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vivendi SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vivendi SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Vivendi Stock
Vivendi SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vivendi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vivendi with respect to the benefits of owning Vivendi SA security.