KERNEL HLDG (Germany) Price Prediction
| 0KE Stock | EUR 3.38 0.01 0.30% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KERNEL HLDG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KERNEL HLDG from the perspective of KERNEL HLDG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in KERNEL HLDG to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying KERNEL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
KERNEL HLDG after-hype prediction price | EUR 3.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
KERNEL |
KERNEL HLDG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KERNEL HLDG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KERNEL HLDG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of KERNEL HLDG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KERNEL HLDG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KERNEL HLDG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KERNEL HLDG's historical news coverage. KERNEL HLDG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 6.72, respectively. We have considered KERNEL HLDG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KERNEL HLDG is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KERNEL HLDG is based on 3 months time horizon.
KERNEL HLDG Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KERNEL HLDG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KERNEL HLDG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KERNEL HLDG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.38 | 3.38 | 0.00 |
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KERNEL HLDG Hype Timeline
KERNEL HLDG is presently traded for 3.38on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. KERNEL is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on KERNEL HLDG is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.38. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.19. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out KERNEL HLDG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.KERNEL HLDG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KERNEL HLDG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KERNEL HLDG's future price movements. Getting to know how KERNEL HLDG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KERNEL HLDG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCJ | Cincinnati Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0.1 | 2.39 | (2.58) | 12.16 | |
| 2GL | Gaming and Leisure | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.99 | (1.49) | 6.58 | |
| UN9 | UNIQA INSURANCE GR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | 0.10 | 1.84 | (1.94) | 4.33 | |
| LIE | Sun Life Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.58 | 0.12 | 1.78 | (1.73) | 7.60 | |
| AS7 | ANTA SPORTS PRODUCT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.94 | (3.91) | 13.60 | |
| LIE | SUN LIFE FINANCIAL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | 0.11 | 1.75 | (1.73) | 8.63 | |
| H0O | REVO INSURANCE SPA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.02 | 0.13 | 3.43 | (2.40) | 21.97 | |
| WD5A | TRAVEL LEISURE DL 01 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.01 | 0.18 | 3.05 | (1.92) | 8.41 |
KERNEL HLDG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KERNEL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KERNEL using various technical indicators. When you analyze KERNEL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About KERNEL HLDG Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of KERNEL HLDG stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as KERNEL HLDG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of KERNEL HLDG based on analysis of KERNEL HLDG hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to KERNEL HLDG's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to KERNEL HLDG's related companies.
Story Coverage note for KERNEL HLDG
The number of cover stories for KERNEL HLDG depends on current market conditions and KERNEL HLDG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KERNEL HLDG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KERNEL HLDG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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KERNEL HLDG Short Properties
KERNEL HLDG's future price predictability will typically decrease when KERNEL HLDG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of KERNEL HLDG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential KERNEL HLDG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KERNEL HLDG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 77.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -34.1 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 1.7 B |
Complementary Tools for KERNEL Stock analysis
When running KERNEL HLDG's price analysis, check to measure KERNEL HLDG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KERNEL HLDG is operating at the current time. Most of KERNEL HLDG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KERNEL HLDG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KERNEL HLDG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KERNEL HLDG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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