Paycom Software (UK) Price Patterns

0KGH Stock   129.94  0.53  0.41%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Paycom Software's share price is approaching 44. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Paycom Software, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Paycom Software's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Paycom Software and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Paycom Software's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Paycom Software, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Paycom Software's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.496
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.092
Using Paycom Software hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Paycom Software from the perspective of Paycom Software response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Paycom Software to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Paycom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Paycom Software after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 129.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Paycom Software Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Paycom Stock please use our How to Invest in Paycom Software guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
128.01129.94131.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
118.84120.76122.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
133.78155.21176.65
Details

Paycom Software After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Paycom Software at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Paycom Software or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Paycom Software, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Paycom Software Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Paycom Software's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Paycom Software's historical news coverage. Paycom Software's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 127.41 and 131.27, respectively. We have considered Paycom Software's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
129.94
127.41
Downside
129.34
After-hype Price
131.27
Upside
Paycom Software is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Paycom Software is based on 3 months time horizon.

Paycom Software Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Paycom Software is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Paycom Software backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Paycom Software, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.37 
1.91
  0.65 
  1.55 
6 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
129.94
129.34
0.46 
107.91  
Notes

Paycom Software Hype Timeline

Paycom Software is presently traded for 129.94on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.65, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.55. Paycom is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 129.34. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 107.91%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.46%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Paycom Software is about 45.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 131.49. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Paycom Software Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Paycom Stock please use our How to Invest in Paycom Software guide.

Paycom Software Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Paycom Software's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Paycom Software's future price movements. Getting to know how Paycom Software's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Paycom Software may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
0HRSCVS Health Corp(0.41)10 per month 0.00 (0.03) 2.43 (2.10) 16.48 
IBTInternational Biotechnology Trust 27.54 3 per month 1.46  0.09  2.84 (2.24) 7.99 
PHPPrimary Health Properties 0.25 7 per month 0.69  0.11  1.56 (1.54) 6.19 
OPTOptima Health plc 3.00 5 per month 0.88  0.04  2.25 (2.02) 7.94 
0HW4Charter Communications Cl 3.65 4 per month 1.82 (0) 3.86 (3.11) 10.59 
IHCInspiration Healthcare Group(0.25)5 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.92 (5.97) 22.73 
0PMJSiemens Healthineers AG(0.20)4 per month 0.00 (0.05) 1.42 (1.85) 6.54 
0N7ICairo Communication SpA 0.03 3 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.16 (2.11) 7.18 

Paycom Software Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Paycom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Paycom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Paycom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Paycom Software Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Paycom Software stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Paycom Software, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Paycom Software based on analysis of Paycom Software hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Paycom Software's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Paycom Software's related companies.

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Additional Tools for Paycom Stock Analysis

When running Paycom Software's price analysis, check to measure Paycom Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paycom Software is operating at the current time. Most of Paycom Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paycom Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paycom Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paycom Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.