SMA Solar (UK) Price Prediction

0NIF Stock   13.52  0.22  1.65%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of SMA Solar's share price is below 30 at the present time. This suggests that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling SMA Solar Technology, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

24

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SMA Solar's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SMA Solar and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SMA Solar's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SMA Solar Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SMA Solar's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.70)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Using SMA Solar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SMA Solar Technology from the perspective of SMA Solar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SMA Solar to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SMA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SMA Solar after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 12.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out SMA Solar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.5111.9915.47
Details

SMA Solar After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SMA Solar at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SMA Solar or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SMA Solar, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SMA Solar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SMA Solar's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SMA Solar's historical news coverage. SMA Solar's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.31 and 16.27, respectively. We have considered SMA Solar's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.52
12.79
After-hype Price
16.27
Upside
SMA Solar is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SMA Solar Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.

SMA Solar Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SMA Solar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SMA Solar backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SMA Solar, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.58 
3.47
  0.39 
  1.20 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.52
12.79
3.18 
517.91  
Notes

SMA Solar Hype Timeline

SMA Solar Technology is presently traded for 13.52on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.39, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.2. SMA is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -3.18%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.58%. The volatility of related hype on SMA Solar is about 167.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.32. About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out SMA Solar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

SMA Solar Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SMA Solar's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SMA Solar's future price movements. Getting to know how SMA Solar's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SMA Solar may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

SMA Solar Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SMA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SMA using various technical indicators. When you analyze SMA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SMA Solar Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SMA Solar stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SMA Solar Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SMA Solar based on analysis of SMA Solar hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SMA Solar's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SMA Solar's related companies.

Story Coverage note for SMA Solar

The number of cover stories for SMA Solar depends on current market conditions and SMA Solar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SMA Solar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SMA Solar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for SMA Stock Analysis

When running SMA Solar's price analysis, check to measure SMA Solar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SMA Solar is operating at the current time. Most of SMA Solar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SMA Solar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SMA Solar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SMA Solar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.