Chung Hsin (Taiwan) Price Prediction
| 1513 Stock | TWD 165.50 4.00 2.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Chung Hsin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chung Hsin Electric Machinery from the perspective of Chung Hsin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chung Hsin to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chung because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chung Hsin after-hype prediction price | TWD 165.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Chung |
Chung Hsin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chung Hsin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chung Hsin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chung Hsin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chung Hsin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chung Hsin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chung Hsin's historical news coverage. Chung Hsin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 163.55 and 167.45, respectively. We have considered Chung Hsin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chung Hsin is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chung Hsin Electric is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chung Hsin Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chung Hsin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chung Hsin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chung Hsin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
165.50 | 165.50 | 0.00 |
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Chung Hsin Hype Timeline
Chung Hsin Electric is presently traded for 165.50on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Chung is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chung Hsin is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 165.50. About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Chung Hsin was presently reported as 25.91. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of July 2022. Chung Hsin Electric had 0:1 split on the 27th of November 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Chung Hsin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Chung Hsin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chung Hsin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chung Hsin's future price movements. Getting to know how Chung Hsin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chung Hsin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 1504 | TECO Electric Machinery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | (0.01) | 2.64 | (2.15) | 7.51 | |
| 1519 | Fortune Electric Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.31 | (4.91) | 16.29 | |
| 1101 | Taiwan Cement Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.74 | (0.10) | 1.55 | (1.37) | 3.96 | |
| 1605 | Walsin Lihwa Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.68 | (3.10) | 10.76 | |
| 1210 | Great Wall Enterprise | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.78 | (0.11) | 1.34 | (1.34) | 4.45 |
Chung Hsin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chung price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chung using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chung charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Chung Hsin Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chung Hsin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chung Hsin Electric Machinery, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chung Hsin based on analysis of Chung Hsin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chung Hsin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chung Hsin's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Chung Hsin
The number of cover stories for Chung Hsin depends on current market conditions and Chung Hsin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chung Hsin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chung Hsin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Chung Hsin Short Properties
Chung Hsin's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chung Hsin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chung Hsin Electric Machinery often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chung Hsin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chung Hsin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 467.1 M |
Additional Tools for Chung Stock Analysis
When running Chung Hsin's price analysis, check to measure Chung Hsin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chung Hsin is operating at the current time. Most of Chung Hsin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chung Hsin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chung Hsin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chung Hsin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.