Abocom Systems (Taiwan) Price Prediction
| 2444 Stock | TWD 11.55 0.10 0.86% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Abocom Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Abocom Systems from the perspective of Abocom Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Abocom Systems to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Abocom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Abocom Systems after-hype prediction price | TWD 11.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Abocom |
Abocom Systems After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Abocom Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Abocom Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Abocom Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Abocom Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Abocom Systems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Abocom Systems' historical news coverage. Abocom Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.42 and 13.68, respectively. We have considered Abocom Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Abocom Systems is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Abocom Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Abocom Systems Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Abocom Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Abocom Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Abocom Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 2.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.55 | 11.55 | 0.00 |
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Abocom Systems Hype Timeline
Abocom Systems is presently traded for 11.55on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Abocom is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Abocom Systems is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.55. About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Abocom Systems was presently reported as 9.39. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of June 2018. Abocom Systems had 0:1 split on the 23rd of October 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Abocom Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Abocom Systems Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Abocom Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Abocom Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how Abocom Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Abocom Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 4980 | Jorjin Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.94 | (4.12) | 11.95 | |
| 3066 | Taiwan Oasis Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.43 | (2.27) | 12.04 | |
| 2496 | Success Prime Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.60 | (0.04) | 0.75 | (0.87) | 8.93 | |
| 6708 | Mars Semiconductor Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.20 | (2.63) | 8.99 | |
| 3664 | Array Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.49 | (3.25) | 12.33 | |
| 8034 | Opnet Technologies Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.44 | 0.01 | 7.21 | (6.55) | 19.87 | |
| 6573 | HY Electronic Cayman | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.48 | 0.12 | 9.83 | (6.65) | 19.49 | |
| 6265 | Kuen Chaang Uppertech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.32 | 0.20 | 9.90 | (5.65) | 19.91 | |
| 8071 | Abico FS Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.30 | (2.60) | 7.50 |
Abocom Systems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Abocom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abocom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abocom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Abocom Systems Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Abocom Systems stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Abocom Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Abocom Systems based on analysis of Abocom Systems hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Abocom Systems's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Abocom Systems's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Abocom Systems
The number of cover stories for Abocom Systems depends on current market conditions and Abocom Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Abocom Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Abocom Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Abocom Stock Analysis
When running Abocom Systems' price analysis, check to measure Abocom Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Abocom Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Abocom Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Abocom Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Abocom Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Abocom Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.