Cathay Financial (Taiwan) Price Prediction
| 2882A Stock | TWD 60.80 0.20 0.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Cathay Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cathay Financial Holding from the perspective of Cathay Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cathay Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cathay because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cathay Financial after-hype prediction price | TWD 60.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cathay |
Cathay Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cathay Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cathay Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cathay Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cathay Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cathay Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cathay Financial's historical news coverage. Cathay Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 60.67 and 60.93, respectively. We have considered Cathay Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cathay Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cathay Financial Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cathay Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cathay Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cathay Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cathay Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
60.80 | 60.80 | 0.00 |
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Cathay Financial Hype Timeline
Cathay Financial Holding is presently traded for 60.80on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cathay is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cathay Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.80. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.58. Cathay Financial Holding last dividend was issued on the 4th of July 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Cathay Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cathay Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cathay Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cathay Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Cathay Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cathay Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 6188 | Quanta Storage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.50 | (3.14) | 14.85 | |
| 1201 | Wei Chuan Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.46 | (0.21) | 1.10 | (0.82) | 3.01 | |
| 1264 | Tehmag Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.49) | 0.63 | (0.65) | 1.59 | |
| 8284 | Mitake Information | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.49 | (0.14) | 1.25 | (1.23) | 2.82 | |
| 1236 | Hunya Foods Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.28 | (1.21) | 5.22 | |
| 1268 | Hi Lai Foods Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.74 | (0.17) | 0.98 | (0.66) | 4.37 |
Cathay Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cathay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cathay using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cathay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cathay Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cathay Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cathay Financial Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cathay Financial based on analysis of Cathay Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cathay Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cathay Financial's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Cathay Financial
The number of cover stories for Cathay Financial depends on current market conditions and Cathay Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cathay Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cathay Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cathay Financial Short Properties
Cathay Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cathay Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cathay Financial Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cathay Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cathay Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.2 B |
Additional Tools for Cathay Stock Analysis
When running Cathay Financial's price analysis, check to measure Cathay Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cathay Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Cathay Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cathay Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cathay Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cathay Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.