Avalue Technology (Taiwan) Price Patterns
| 3479 Stock | TWD 88.60 0.60 0.67% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Avalue Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Avalue Technology from the perspective of Avalue Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Avalue Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Avalue because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Avalue Technology after-hype prediction price | TWD 89.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Avalue |
Avalue Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Avalue Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Avalue Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Avalue Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Avalue Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Avalue Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Avalue Technology's historical news coverage. Avalue Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.78 and 90.62, respectively. We have considered Avalue Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Avalue Technology is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Avalue Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Avalue Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Avalue Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Avalue Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Avalue Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
88.60 | 89.20 | 0.00 |
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Avalue Technology Hype Timeline
Avalue Technology is presently traded for 88.60on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Avalue is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Avalue Technology is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 88.60. About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.9. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Avalue Technology recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.71. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Avalue Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Avalue Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Avalue Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Avalue Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Avalue Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Avalue Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 2397 | DFI Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.27 | (2.13) | 9.37 | |
| 3088 | Axiomtek Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.21 | (0.01) | 2.61 | (2.20) | 7.96 | |
| 2387 | Sunrex Technology Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.04 | (1.65) | 5.53 | |
| 6277 | Aten International Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.48 | (1.29) | 3.95 | |
| 3611 | TSC Auto ID | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.69 | (1.73) | 5.12 | |
| 6117 | In Win Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.70 | (2.96) | 14.17 | |
| 3701 | FIC Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.49 | 0.14 | 9.92 | (6.21) | 19.03 | |
| 2414 | Unitech Computer Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.97 | (1.09) | 2.81 | |
| 8050 | IBASE Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.31 | (2.20) | 6.77 | |
| 2365 | KYE Systems Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.57 | (0.02) | 5.17 | (3.46) | 17.10 |
Avalue Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Avalue price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Avalue using various technical indicators. When you analyze Avalue charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Avalue Technology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Avalue Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Avalue Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Avalue Technology based on analysis of Avalue Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Avalue Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Avalue Technology's related companies.
Pair Trading with Avalue Technology
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Avalue Technology position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Avalue Technology will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Avalue Stock
Moving against Avalue Stock
| 0.88 | 2884 | ESUN Financial Holding | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | 2885 | Yuanta Financial Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | 2880 | Hua Nan Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | 2891 | CTBC Financial Holding | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | 2892 | First Financial Holding | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | 2331 | Elitegroup Computer | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Avalue Technology could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Avalue Technology when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Avalue Technology - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Avalue Technology to buy it.
The correlation of Avalue Technology is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Avalue Technology moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Avalue Technology moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Avalue Technology can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Avalue Stock Analysis
When running Avalue Technology's price analysis, check to measure Avalue Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avalue Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Avalue Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avalue Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avalue Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avalue Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.