Chi Sheng (Taiwan) Price Prediction

4111 Stock  TWD 27.50  0.50  1.85%   
As of today, The value of RSI of Chi Sheng's share price is at 53. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Chi Sheng, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Chi Sheng's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Chi Sheng and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Chi Sheng's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chi Sheng Chemical, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Chi Sheng hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chi Sheng Chemical from the perspective of Chi Sheng response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chi Sheng to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chi because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Chi Sheng after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 27.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Chi Sheng Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.4427.1027.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.7827.4328.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.9626.7427.52
Details

Chi Sheng After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Chi Sheng at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chi Sheng or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chi Sheng, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Chi Sheng Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Chi Sheng's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chi Sheng's historical news coverage. Chi Sheng's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.84 and 28.16, respectively. We have considered Chi Sheng's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27.50
27.50
After-hype Price
28.16
Upside
Chi Sheng is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chi Sheng Chemical is based on 3 months time horizon.

Chi Sheng Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chi Sheng is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chi Sheng backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chi Sheng, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
0.66
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.50
27.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Chi Sheng Hype Timeline

Chi Sheng Chemical is presently traded for 27.50on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Chi is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chi Sheng is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.50. About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.32. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Chi Sheng Chemical last dividend was issued on the 22nd of August 2022. The entity had 1040:1000 split on the 17th of September 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Chi Sheng Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Chi Sheng Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Chi Sheng's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chi Sheng's future price movements. Getting to know how Chi Sheng's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chi Sheng may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Chi Sheng Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Chi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Chi Sheng Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Chi Sheng stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chi Sheng Chemical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chi Sheng based on analysis of Chi Sheng hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chi Sheng's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chi Sheng's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Chi Sheng

The number of cover stories for Chi Sheng depends on current market conditions and Chi Sheng's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chi Sheng is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chi Sheng's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Chi Sheng Short Properties

Chi Sheng's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chi Sheng's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chi Sheng Chemical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chi Sheng's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chi Sheng's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding57 M
Dividends Paid57 M
Short Long Term Debt278.2 M

Additional Tools for Chi Stock Analysis

When running Chi Sheng's price analysis, check to measure Chi Sheng's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chi Sheng is operating at the current time. Most of Chi Sheng's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chi Sheng's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chi Sheng's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chi Sheng to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.