TM Technology (Taiwan) Price Prediction

5468 Stock  TWD 18.55  0.20  1.09%   
As of today, the value of RSI of TM Technology's share price is approaching 40. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TM Technology, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 40

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TM Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of TM Technology and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from TM Technology's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TM Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using TM Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TM Technology from the perspective of TM Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TM Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying 5468 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

TM Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 18.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out TM Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6116.1320.65
Details

TM Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TM Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TM Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TM Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TM Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TM Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TM Technology's historical news coverage. TM Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.03 and 23.07, respectively. We have considered TM Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.55
18.55
After-hype Price
23.07
Upside
TM Technology is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TM Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.

TM Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TM Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TM Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TM Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
4.52
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.55
18.55
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

TM Technology Hype Timeline

TM Technology is presently traded for 18.55on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. 5468 is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on TM Technology is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.55. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.19. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. TM Technology recorded a loss per share of 0.78. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out TM Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

TM Technology Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TM Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TM Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how TM Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TM Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
8024Alpha Microelectronics 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.41 (1.89) 7.45 
1813Polylite Taiwan Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.15 (1.13) 11.49 
3268Higher Way Electronic 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.10) 1.81 (1.99) 8.90 
6103Avid Electronics Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.05 (4.63) 15.64 
8455Daito Me Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 5.50 (7.44) 18.01 
3623Transtouch Technology 0.00 0 per month 1.80  0.13  9.95 (3.61) 15.43 
6241Amigo Technology 0.00 0 per month 1.71 (0) 4.76 (2.71) 9.93 
3064Astro 0.00 0 per month 2.28 (0.01) 4.39 (5.22) 16.81 
9912Associated Industries China 0.00 0 per month 0.82 (0.09) 1.69 (1.25) 6.17 
5248Pixon Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.24 (3.85) 12.60 

TM Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine 5468 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 5468 using various technical indicators. When you analyze 5468 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About TM Technology Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of TM Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TM Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TM Technology based on analysis of TM Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TM Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TM Technology's related companies.

Story Coverage note for TM Technology

The number of cover stories for TM Technology depends on current market conditions and TM Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TM Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TM Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

TM Technology Short Properties

TM Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when TM Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TM Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TM Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TM Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.86k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6.91k

Additional Tools for 5468 Stock Analysis

When running TM Technology's price analysis, check to measure TM Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TM Technology is operating at the current time. Most of TM Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TM Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TM Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TM Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.