Shanghai Material (China) Price Prediction

600822 Stock   12.15  0.29  2.45%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Shanghai Material's share price is above 70 as of 29th of November 2024. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Shanghai, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

73

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shanghai Material's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shanghai Material Trading, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Shanghai Material's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.284
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.13)
Using Shanghai Material hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shanghai Material Trading from the perspective of Shanghai Material response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shanghai Material to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shanghai because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Shanghai Material after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 13.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Shanghai Material Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.819.7613.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.7311.6815.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.3812.3713.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shanghai Material. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shanghai Material's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shanghai Material's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shanghai Material Trading.

Shanghai Material After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shanghai Material at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shanghai Material or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shanghai Material, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shanghai Material Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shanghai Material's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shanghai Material's historical news coverage. Shanghai Material's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.71 and 17.61, respectively. We have considered Shanghai Material's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.15
13.66
After-hype Price
17.61
Upside
Shanghai Material is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shanghai Material Trading is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shanghai Material Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shanghai Material is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shanghai Material backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shanghai Material, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.98 
3.95
  1.51 
  0.02 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.15
13.66
12.43 
256.49  
Notes

Shanghai Material Hype Timeline

Shanghai Material Trading is presently traded for 12.15on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.51, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Shanghai is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 12.43%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.98%. The volatility of related hype on Shanghai Material is about 17954.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.13. Shanghai Material Trading has accumulated 89.76 M in total debt. Debt can assist Shanghai Material until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Shanghai Material's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Shanghai Material Trading sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Shanghai to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Shanghai Material's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Shanghai Material Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Shanghai Material Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shanghai Material's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shanghai Material's future price movements. Getting to know how Shanghai Material's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shanghai Material may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Shanghai Material Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shanghai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shanghai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shanghai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Shanghai Material Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Shanghai Material stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shanghai Material Trading, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shanghai Material based on analysis of Shanghai Material hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shanghai Material's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shanghai Material's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Shanghai Material

The number of cover stories for Shanghai Material depends on current market conditions and Shanghai Material's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shanghai Material is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shanghai Material's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Shanghai Material Short Properties

Shanghai Material's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shanghai Material's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shanghai Material Trading often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shanghai Material's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shanghai Material's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding496 M

Complementary Tools for Shanghai Stock analysis

When running Shanghai Material's price analysis, check to measure Shanghai Material's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shanghai Material is operating at the current time. Most of Shanghai Material's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shanghai Material's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shanghai Material's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shanghai Material to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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