Nancal Energy (China) Price Prediction

603859 Stock   30.24  0.49  1.65%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Nancal Energy's share price is above 70 as of 26th of November 2024. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Nancal, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

77

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nancal Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nancal Energy Saving Tech, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nancal Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.60)
Wall Street Target Price
25.04
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Using Nancal Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nancal Energy Saving Tech from the perspective of Nancal Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nancal Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nancal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Nancal Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 30.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Nancal Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.4227.3432.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.4027.3232.25
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.230.270.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nancal Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nancal Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nancal Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nancal Energy Saving.

Nancal Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nancal Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nancal Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nancal Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nancal Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nancal Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nancal Energy's historical news coverage. Nancal Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.32 and 35.16, respectively. We have considered Nancal Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
30.24
30.24
After-hype Price
35.16
Upside
Nancal Energy is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nancal Energy Saving is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nancal Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nancal Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nancal Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nancal Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.46 
4.92
 0.00  
  5.75 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
30.24
30.24
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Nancal Energy Hype Timeline

Nancal Energy Saving is presently traded for 30.24on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 5.75. Nancal is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.46%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nancal Energy is about 124.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.99. About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Nancal Energy was presently reported as 11.49. The company last dividend was issued on the 17th of June 2024. Nancal Energy Saving had 1.48:1 split on the 17th of June 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Nancal Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Nancal Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nancal Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nancal Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Nancal Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nancal Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
688256Cambricon Technologies Corp 33.16 1 per month 3.80  0.19  12.34 (6.54) 29.45 
688047Loongson Technology Corp(3.00)1 per month 3.11  0.12  9.07 (5.65) 28.95 
600106Chongqing Road Bridge 0.00 0 per month 3.25  0.20  8.78 (6.20) 19.33 
688318Shenzhen Fortune Trend 12.18 3 per month 4.42  0.16  16.97 (7.91) 37.36 
600769Wuhan Xianglong Power 0.00 0 per month 3.39  0.23  9.99 (6.38) 19.99 
002693Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut 0.00 0 per month 5.07  0.38  10.02 (10.00) 20.06 
301269Empyrean Technology Co(8.10)2 per month 3.39  0.13  13.01 (7.25) 31.30 
002625Kuang Chi Technologies 1.21 1 per month 3.20  0.28  10.00 (6.05) 20.00 
301259Hunan Airbluer Environmental 0.00 0 per month 2.37  0.26  7.25 (5.05) 28.39 

Nancal Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nancal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nancal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nancal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Nancal Energy Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Nancal Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nancal Energy Saving Tech, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nancal Energy based on analysis of Nancal Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nancal Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nancal Energy's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Nancal Energy

The number of cover stories for Nancal Energy depends on current market conditions and Nancal Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nancal Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nancal Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Nancal Energy Short Properties

Nancal Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nancal Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nancal Energy Saving Tech often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nancal Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nancal Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding246.5 M

Complementary Tools for Nancal Stock analysis

When running Nancal Energy's price analysis, check to measure Nancal Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nancal Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Nancal Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nancal Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nancal Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nancal Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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