Touchstone International (China) Price Prediction
| 688013 Stock | 19.17 0.71 3.85% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
76
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.274 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.279 |
Using Touchstone International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Touchstone International Medical from the perspective of Touchstone International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Touchstone International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Touchstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Touchstone International after-hype prediction price | CNY 19.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Touchstone |
Touchstone International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Touchstone International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Touchstone International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Touchstone International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Touchstone International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Touchstone International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Touchstone International's historical news coverage. Touchstone International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.62 and 23.30, respectively. We have considered Touchstone International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Touchstone International is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Touchstone International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Touchstone International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Touchstone International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Touchstone International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Touchstone International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.61 | 3.36 | 0.74 | 0.30 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.17 | 19.96 | 4.12 |
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Touchstone International Hype Timeline
Touchstone International is presently traded for 19.17on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.74, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.3. Touchstone is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.96 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 4.12%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.61%. The volatility of related hype on Touchstone International is about 673.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.47. Touchstone International generates positive cash flow from operations, but has no cash availableAssuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Touchstone International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Touchstone International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Touchstone International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Touchstone International's future price movements. Getting to know how Touchstone International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Touchstone International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601988 | Bank of China | 0.14 | 3 per month | 1.51 | (0.03) | 2.67 | (2.86) | 7.70 | |
| 600519 | Kweichow Moutai Co | (0.13) | 4 per month | 1.87 | 0.0007 | 6.55 | (2.98) | 16.71 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.43 | (3.33) | 17.17 | |
| 601328 | Bank of Communications | (0.07) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.26 | (3.60) | 10.82 | |
| 601318 | Ping An Insurance | 0.26 | 1 per month | 1.83 | 0.11 | 5.83 | (2.83) | 19.77 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.71 | 2 per month | 1.18 | (0.08) | 2.05 | (2.04) | 8.38 | |
| 600000 | Shanghai Pudong Development | (0.01) | 1 per month | 1.52 | 0.02 | 3.69 | (2.94) | 10.95 | |
| 600016 | China Minsheng Banking | (0.04) | 4 per month | 1.75 | 0.04 | 3.39 | (2.40) | 12.81 | |
| 300750 | Contemporary Amperex Technology | 4.16 | 1 per month | 2.98 | 0.14 | 7.94 | (3.41) | 33.42 | |
| 600028 | China Petroleum Chemical | 0.06 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.21 | (3.26) | 10.77 |
Touchstone International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Touchstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Touchstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Touchstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Touchstone International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Touchstone International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Touchstone International Medical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Touchstone International based on analysis of Touchstone International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Touchstone International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Touchstone International's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Touchstone International
The number of cover stories for Touchstone International depends on current market conditions and Touchstone International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Touchstone International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Touchstone International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Touchstone International Short Properties
Touchstone International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Touchstone International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Touchstone International Medical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Touchstone International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Touchstone International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Touchstone Stock analysis
When running Touchstone International's price analysis, check to measure Touchstone International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Touchstone International is operating at the current time. Most of Touchstone International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Touchstone International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Touchstone International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Touchstone International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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