Merida Industry (Taiwan) Price Prediction
| 9914 Stock | TWD 155.50 1.50 0.96% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
22
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Merida Industry hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Merida Industry Co from the perspective of Merida Industry response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Merida Industry to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Merida because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Merida Industry after-hype prediction price | TWD 155.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Merida |
Merida Industry After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Merida Industry at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Merida Industry or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Merida Industry, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Merida Industry Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Merida Industry's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Merida Industry's historical news coverage. Merida Industry's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 153.31 and 157.69, respectively. We have considered Merida Industry's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Merida Industry is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Merida Industry is based on 3 months time horizon.
Merida Industry Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Merida Industry is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Merida Industry backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Merida Industry, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.61 | 2.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
155.50 | 155.50 | 0.00 |
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Merida Industry Hype Timeline
Merida Industry is presently traded for 155.50on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Merida is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.61%. %. The volatility of related hype on Merida Industry is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 155.50. About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Merida Industry was presently reported as 69.42. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.57. Merida Industry recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.87. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of August 2022. The firm had 1050:1000 split on the 19th of August 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Merida Industry Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Merida Industry Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Merida Industry's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Merida Industry's future price movements. Getting to know how Merida Industry's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Merida Industry may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 2330 | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.56 | 0.01 | 2.87 | (2.34) | 9.09 | |
| 2317 | Hon Hai Precision | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.65 | 0.02 | 3.01 | (2.56) | 8.59 | |
| 2454 | MediaTek | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.13 | 0 | 4.05 | (2.62) | 11.13 | |
| 2412 | Chunghwa Telecom Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.82 | (1.19) | 2.43 | |
| 5871 | Chailease Holding Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.96 | (3.37) | 17.57 | |
| 2308 | Delta Electronics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.84 | (3.46) | 11.60 | |
| 6505 | Formosa Petrochemical Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 2.89 | (3.51) | 9.39 | |
| 2887E | Taishin Financial Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.62) | 0.39 | (0.39) | 1.17 | |
| 2886 | Mega Financial Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | (0.12) | 1.15 | (1.27) | 3.85 |
Merida Industry Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Merida price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Merida using various technical indicators. When you analyze Merida charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Merida Industry Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Merida Industry stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Merida Industry Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Merida Industry based on analysis of Merida Industry hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Merida Industry's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Merida Industry's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Merida Industry
The number of cover stories for Merida Industry depends on current market conditions and Merida Industry's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Merida Industry is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Merida Industry's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Merida Industry Short Properties
Merida Industry's future price predictability will typically decrease when Merida Industry's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Merida Industry Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Merida Industry's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Merida Industry's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 299 M |
Additional Tools for Merida Stock Analysis
When running Merida Industry's price analysis, check to measure Merida Industry's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Merida Industry is operating at the current time. Most of Merida Industry's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Merida Industry's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Merida Industry's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Merida Industry to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.