Arbor Realty Trust Preferred Stock Price Prediction
| ABR-PE Preferred Stock | USD 18.79 0.44 2.29% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Arbor Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Arbor Realty Trust from the perspective of Arbor Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Arbor Realty to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Arbor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Arbor Realty after-hype prediction price | USD 18.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Arbor |
Arbor Realty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Arbor Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Arbor Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Arbor Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Arbor Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Arbor Realty's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Arbor Realty's historical news coverage. Arbor Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.49 and 20.09, respectively. We have considered Arbor Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Arbor Realty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Arbor Realty Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Arbor Realty Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Arbor Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arbor Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Arbor Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.79 | 18.79 | 0.00 |
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Arbor Realty Hype Timeline
Arbor Realty Trust is presently traded for 18.79. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Arbor is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Arbor Realty is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.79. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of July 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Arbor Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Arbor Realty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Arbor Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Arbor Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Arbor Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Arbor Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACR-PC | ACRES Commercial Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.40 | (0.28) | 1.30 | |
| DX-PC | Dynex Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.15 | (0.26) | 0.48 | (0.39) | 1.59 | |
| PMT-PA | PennyMac Mortgage Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.57 | (0.17) | 1.31 | (0.94) | 3.79 | |
| MITT-PC | AG Mortgage Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.61 | (0.36) | 1.20 | |
| CHMI-PB | Cherry Hill Mortgage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.57 | (0.60) | 2.68 |
Arbor Realty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Arbor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Arbor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Arbor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Arbor Realty Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Arbor Realty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Arbor Realty Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Arbor Realty based on analysis of Arbor Realty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Arbor Realty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Arbor Realty's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Arbor Realty
The number of cover stories for Arbor Realty depends on current market conditions and Arbor Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Arbor Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Arbor Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Arbor Realty Short Properties
Arbor Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Arbor Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Arbor Realty Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Arbor Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arbor Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 199.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Arbor Preferred Stock analysis
When running Arbor Realty's price analysis, check to measure Arbor Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arbor Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Arbor Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arbor Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arbor Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arbor Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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