Askari General (Pakistan) Price Prediction
| AGIC Stock | 24.61 0.16 0.65% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Askari General hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Askari General Insurance from the perspective of Askari General response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Askari General to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Askari because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Askari General after-hype prediction price | PKR 24.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Askari |
Askari General After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Askari General at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Askari General or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Askari General, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Askari General Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Askari General's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Askari General's historical news coverage. Askari General's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.27 and 26.95, respectively. We have considered Askari General's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Askari General is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Askari General Insurance is based on 3 months time horizon.
Askari General Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Askari General is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Askari General backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Askari General, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 2.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.61 | 24.61 | 0.00 |
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Askari General Hype Timeline
Askari General Insurance is presently traded for 24.61on Karachi Stock Exchange of Pakistan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Askari is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.45%. %. The volatility of related hype on Askari General is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.61. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Askari General Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Askari General Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Askari General's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Askari General's future price movements. Getting to know how Askari General's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Askari General may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UNIC | United Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | 0.10 | 5.28 | (2.61) | 14.36 | |
| BOP | Bank of Punjab | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | 0.11 | 5.24 | (2.23) | 11.72 | |
| JLICL | Jubilee Life Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.46 | 0.02 | 3.47 | (2.74) | 8.60 | |
| RICL | Reliance Insurance Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.96 | 0.08 | 6.89 | (4.76) | 20.15 | |
| EWIC | East West Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.48 | (9.55) | 29.97 | |
| HTL | Hi Tech Lubricants | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.37 | 0.03 | 4.74 | (4.00) | 16.18 | |
| AICL | Adamjee Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.22 | 0.08 | 4.12 | (2.51) | 13.01 | |
| HICL | Habib Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.22 | (0.01) | 5.00 | (6.72) | 14.69 |
Askari General Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Askari price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Askari using various technical indicators. When you analyze Askari charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Askari General Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Askari General stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Askari General Insurance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Askari General based on analysis of Askari General hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Askari General's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Askari General's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Askari General
The number of cover stories for Askari General depends on current market conditions and Askari General's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Askari General is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Askari General's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for Askari Stock analysis
When running Askari General's price analysis, check to measure Askari General's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Askari General is operating at the current time. Most of Askari General's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Askari General's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Askari General's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Askari General to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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