Bank Rakyat (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| AGRO Stock | IDR 238.00 4.00 1.65% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
35
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bank Rakyat hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank Rakyat Indonesia from the perspective of Bank Rakyat response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bank Rakyat to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bank Rakyat after-hype prediction price | IDR 238.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bank |
Bank Rakyat After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bank Rakyat at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank Rakyat or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bank Rakyat, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bank Rakyat Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bank Rakyat's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank Rakyat's historical news coverage. Bank Rakyat's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 235.41 and 240.59, respectively. We have considered Bank Rakyat's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bank Rakyat is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank Rakyat Indonesia is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bank Rakyat Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank Rakyat is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank Rakyat backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank Rakyat, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
238.00 | 238.00 | 0.00 |
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Bank Rakyat Hype Timeline
Bank Rakyat Indonesia is presently traded for 238.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bank is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bank Rakyat is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 238.00. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Bank Rakyat was presently reported as 105.39. The company recorded a loss per share of 139.84. Bank Rakyat Indonesia last dividend was issued on the 9th of April 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Bank Rakyat Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bank Rakyat Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bank Rakyat's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank Rakyat's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank Rakyat's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank Rakyat may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BBKP | Bank Bukopin Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.00 | (3.33) | 12.60 | |
| BRIS | Bank BRISyariah Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.51 | 0.01 | 4.73 | (2.60) | 12.51 | |
| BBTN | Bank Tabungan Negara | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.93 | (2.47) | 9.36 | |
| ARTO | Bank Artos Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.07 | (3.85) | 12.98 | |
| BEKS | Bank Pembangunan Daerah | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.08 | 0.10 | 9.09 | (8.51) | 20.00 |
Bank Rakyat Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Bank Rakyat Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bank Rakyat stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bank Rakyat Indonesia, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bank Rakyat based on analysis of Bank Rakyat hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bank Rakyat's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bank Rakyat's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Bank Rakyat
The number of cover stories for Bank Rakyat depends on current market conditions and Bank Rakyat's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank Rakyat is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank Rakyat's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bank Rakyat Short Properties
Bank Rakyat's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank Rakyat's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank Rakyat Indonesia often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank Rakyat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Rakyat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.7 B |
Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock
Bank Rakyat financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank Rakyat security.