Koninklijke Ahold (Germany) Price Prediction

AHOG Stock  EUR 32.39  0.05  0.15%   
The value of RSI of Koninklijke Ahold's the stock price is roughly 69. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 24th of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Koninklijke, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

69

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Koninklijke Ahold's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Koninklijke Ahold and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Koninklijke Ahold's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Koninklijke Ahold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize from the perspective of Koninklijke Ahold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Koninklijke Ahold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Koninklijke because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Koninklijke Ahold after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 32.39  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Koninklijke Ahold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.8831.8932.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.0432.0533.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.3332.3732.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Koninklijke Ahold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Koninklijke Ahold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Koninklijke Ahold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Koninklijke Ahold.

Koninklijke Ahold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Koninklijke Ahold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Koninklijke Ahold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Koninklijke Ahold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Koninklijke Ahold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Koninklijke Ahold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Koninklijke Ahold's historical news coverage. Koninklijke Ahold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.38 and 33.40, respectively. We have considered Koninklijke Ahold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
32.39
32.39
After-hype Price
33.40
Upside
Koninklijke Ahold is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Koninklijke Ahold is based on 3 months time horizon.

Koninklijke Ahold Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Koninklijke Ahold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Koninklijke Ahold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Koninklijke Ahold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
1.01
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
32.39
32.39
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Koninklijke Ahold Hype Timeline

Koninklijke Ahold is presently traded for 32.39on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Koninklijke is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Koninklijke Ahold is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.39. About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.71. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Koninklijke Ahold last dividend was issued on the 14th of April 2023. The entity had 16:17 split on the 18th of July 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Koninklijke Ahold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Koninklijke Ahold Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Koninklijke Ahold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Koninklijke Ahold's future price movements. Getting to know how Koninklijke Ahold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Koninklijke Ahold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
L8GLoblaw Companies Limited 0.00 0 per month 1.27 (0.02) 1.74 (2.54) 9.23 
8SPSuperior Plus Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.38 (5.24) 20.22 
6NMNMI Holdings 0.00 0 per month 1.77 (0.03) 2.79 (2.69) 9.64 
39O1Origin Agritech 0.00 0 per month 3.51  0.02  8.41 (5.38) 34.42 
2DGSIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.27) 6.06 (8.57) 52.42 
TLXTalanx AG 0.00 0 per month 1.13 (0.06) 2.67 (1.64) 7.58 
TM9NorAm Drilling AS 0.00 0 per month 4.27 (0.02) 5.56 (6.43) 36.50 
INVNIdentiv 0.00 0 per month 2.54  0.05  5.61 (4.98) 14.01 
IUI1INTUITIVE SURGICAL 0.00 0 per month 1.05  0.1  3.28 (1.96) 10.01 
6HWBANK HANDLOWY 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.30) 1.21 (1.80) 5.39 

Koninklijke Ahold Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Koninklijke price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Koninklijke using various technical indicators. When you analyze Koninklijke charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Koninklijke Ahold Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Koninklijke Ahold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Koninklijke Ahold based on analysis of Koninklijke Ahold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Koninklijke Ahold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Koninklijke Ahold's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Koninklijke Ahold

The number of cover stories for Koninklijke Ahold depends on current market conditions and Koninklijke Ahold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Koninklijke Ahold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Koninklijke Ahold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Koninklijke Ahold Short Properties

Koninklijke Ahold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Koninklijke Ahold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Koninklijke Ahold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Koninklijke Ahold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Complementary Tools for Koninklijke Stock analysis

When running Koninklijke Ahold's price analysis, check to measure Koninklijke Ahold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Koninklijke Ahold is operating at the current time. Most of Koninklijke Ahold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Koninklijke Ahold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Koninklijke Ahold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Koninklijke Ahold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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