Aimia Inc Stock Price Prediction

AIM Stock  CAD 2.96  0.07  2.31%   
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Aimia's share price is at 57. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aimia, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Aimia's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aimia Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Aimia's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.3 K
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.04
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.49
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.25
Wall Street Target Price
3.75
Using Aimia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aimia Inc from the perspective of Aimia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aimia to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aimia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Aimia after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 2.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Aimia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.022.453.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.613.044.47
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.12-0.080.12
Details

Aimia After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Aimia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aimia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aimia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Aimia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Aimia's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aimia's historical news coverage. Aimia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.53 and 4.39, respectively. We have considered Aimia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.96
2.96
After-hype Price
4.39
Upside
Aimia is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aimia Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Aimia Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aimia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aimia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aimia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
1.43
 0.00  
 0.00  
7 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.96
2.96
0.00 
4,767  
Notes

Aimia Hype Timeline

Aimia Inc is presently traded for 2.96on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aimia is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aimia is about 9533.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.96. About 45.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.81. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aimia Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.9. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of June 2017. Aimia had 1:44 split on the 11th of June 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Aimia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Aimia Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Aimia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aimia's future price movements. Getting to know how Aimia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aimia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OLYOlympia Financial Group 0.14 8 per month 1.62  0.02  2.88 (1.74) 12.50 
SBCBrompton Split Banc(0.08)9 per month 1.14  0.10  1.78 (1.77) 6.86 
URB-AUrbana(0.20)5 per month 0.88  0.19  3.92 (1.88) 7.28 
URBUrbana 0.02 6 per month 1.44  0.15  3.92 (2.49) 11.09 
STCKStack Capital Group 0.01 5 per month 2.26  0.16  6.27 (3.72) 13.53 
GDVGlobal Dividend Growth(0.03)3 per month 0.36  0.15  1.15 (1.09) 3.19 
DFNDividend 15 Split(0.03)5 per month 0.49  0.24  1.47 (0.63) 4.59 
DGSDividend Growth Split 0.05 3 per month 0.25  0.25  1.41 (0.97) 3.15 

Aimia Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aimia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aimia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aimia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Aimia Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Aimia stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aimia Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aimia based on analysis of Aimia hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aimia's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aimia's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.04750.05840.05260.0453
Price To Sales Ratio1.310.50.580.55

Pair Trading with Aimia

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Aimia position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Aimia will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Aimia Stock

  0.63TPX-B Molson Coors CanadaPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Aimia could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Aimia when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Aimia - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Aimia Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Aimia is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Aimia moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Aimia Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Aimia can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Aimia Stock

Aimia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aimia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aimia with respect to the benefits of owning Aimia security.