ALM Equity (Sweden) Price Prediction
| ALM Stock | SEK 167.00 6.00 3.47% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ALM Equity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ALM Equity AB from the perspective of ALM Equity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ALM Equity to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ALM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ALM Equity after-hype prediction price | SEK 167.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ALM |
ALM Equity After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ALM Equity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ALM Equity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ALM Equity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ALM Equity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ALM Equity's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ALM Equity's historical news coverage. ALM Equity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 165.40 and 168.60, respectively. We have considered ALM Equity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ALM Equity is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ALM Equity AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
ALM Equity Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ALM Equity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ALM Equity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ALM Equity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 1.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
167.00 | 167.00 | 0.00 |
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ALM Equity Hype Timeline
ALM Equity AB is presently traded for 167.00on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ALM is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on ALM Equity is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 167.00. About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of ALM Equity was presently reported as 599.34. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 111.18. ALM Equity AB recorded earning per share (EPS) of 373.53. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. The firm had 101:100 split on the 19th of June 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out ALM Equity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ALM Equity Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ALM Equity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ALM Equity's future price movements. Getting to know how ALM Equity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ALM Equity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HUFV-A | Hufvudstaden AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.16 | (1.53) | 4.97 | |
| FABG | Fabege AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.84 | (2.55) | 7.75 | |
| WIHL | Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.18 | (2.19) | 5.85 | |
| BALD-B | Fastighets AB Balder | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.63 | (0.07) | 3.40 | (2.48) | 7.08 |
ALM Equity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ALM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ALM using various technical indicators. When you analyze ALM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ALM Equity Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ALM Equity stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ALM Equity AB, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ALM Equity based on analysis of ALM Equity hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ALM Equity's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ALM Equity's related companies.
Story Coverage note for ALM Equity
The number of cover stories for ALM Equity depends on current market conditions and ALM Equity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ALM Equity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ALM Equity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ALM Equity Short Properties
ALM Equity's future price predictability will typically decrease when ALM Equity's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ALM Equity AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ALM Equity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ALM Equity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Additional Tools for ALM Stock Analysis
When running ALM Equity's price analysis, check to measure ALM Equity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ALM Equity is operating at the current time. Most of ALM Equity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ALM Equity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ALM Equity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ALM Equity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.