Alior Bank (Poland) Price Prediction
| ALR Stock | 87.60 1.74 2.03% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Alior Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alior Bank SA from the perspective of Alior Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Alior Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Alior because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Alior Bank after-hype prediction price | PLN 87.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Alior |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alior Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alior Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alior Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alior Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alior Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alior Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alior Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alior Bank's historical news coverage. Alior Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 85.12 and 90.08, respectively. We have considered Alior Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alior Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alior Bank SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alior Bank Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alior Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alior Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alior Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
87.60 | 87.60 | 0.00 |
|
Alior Bank Hype Timeline
Alior Bank SA is presently traded for 87.60on Warsaw Stock Exchange of Poland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Alior is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alior Bank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 87.60. About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.84. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alior Bank SA had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1536:1253 split on the 20th of May 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Alior Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Alior Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alior Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alior Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Alior Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alior Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TGS | True Games Syndicate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.78 | (7.02) | 36.78 | |
| K2P | Kool2play SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 10.28 | (6.78) | 26.37 | |
| CFS | Centrum Finansowe Banku | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.45 | 0.04 | 3.92 | (2.83) | 13.59 | |
| ECH | Echo Investment SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.34 | (0.04) | 3.17 | (3.41) | 10.82 | |
| UFG | UF Games SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.44 | (5.00) | 15.80 | |
| ING | ING Bank lski | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.73 | (3.92) | 10.06 | |
| VAR | Varsav Game Studios | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 10.42 | (7.69) | 40.00 |
Alior Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alior price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alior using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alior charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Alior Bank Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Alior Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Alior Bank SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alior Bank based on analysis of Alior Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Alior Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Alior Bank's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Alior Bank
The number of cover stories for Alior Bank depends on current market conditions and Alior Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alior Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alior Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Alior Bank Short Properties
Alior Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alior Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alior Bank SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alior Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alior Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 130.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 B |
Additional Tools for Alior Stock Analysis
When running Alior Bank's price analysis, check to measure Alior Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alior Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Alior Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alior Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alior Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alior Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.