Txcom SA (France) Price Patterns

ALTXC Stock   8.60  0.20  2.27%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Txcom SA's stock price is slightly above 62. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Txcom, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Txcom SA's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Txcom SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Txcom SA's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.217
Wall Street Target Price
9.3
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.30)
Using Txcom SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Txcom SA from the perspective of Txcom SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Txcom SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Txcom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Txcom SA after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 8.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Txcom SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Txcom SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.817.029.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.548.7510.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.057.868.67
Details

Txcom SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Txcom SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Txcom SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Txcom SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Txcom SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Txcom SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Txcom SA's historical news coverage. Txcom SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.43 and 10.85, respectively. We have considered Txcom SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.60
8.64
After-hype Price
10.85
Upside
Txcom SA is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Txcom SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Txcom SA Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Txcom SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Txcom SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Txcom SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
2.21
  0.04 
  0.04 
5 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.60
8.64
0.47 
1,105  
Notes

Txcom SA Hype Timeline

Txcom SA is presently traded for 8.60on Euronext Paris of France. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Txcom is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.64 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is forecasted to be 0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Txcom SA is about 1088.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.64. The company reported the revenue of 10.02 M. Net Income was 1.11 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.47 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Txcom SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Txcom SA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Txcom SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Txcom SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Txcom SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Txcom SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALCOFCofidur SA 2.00 3 per month 1.09  0  2.24 (2.19) 10.89 
ALNN6ENENSYS Technologies SA 0.13 3 per month 3.90 (0.0007) 6.52 (7.07) 30.52 
ALINNInnelec Multimedia(0.01)2 per month 0.00 (0.04) 4.47 (3.67) 9.99 
ALDNEDONTNOD Entertainment SA 0.01 4 per month 0.00 (0.13) 5.00 (4.84) 12.68 
ALJXRArchos(0.01)4 per month 1.94  0.02  5.26 (5.00) 15.29 
ALHFHF Company SA(0.03)8 per month 0.00 (0.10) 1.64 (1.90) 7.33 
ALLGOLargo SAS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 2.45 (3.35) 12.98 
ALGIDEgide SA 0.02 6 per month 5.49  0.14  25.88 (9.09) 68.80 
ALKALKalray SA(0.08)8 per month 5.66  0.20  21.43 (7.79) 63.29 
ALKLKKerlink SAS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 6.25 (6.09) 23.53 

Txcom SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Txcom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Txcom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Txcom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Txcom SA Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Txcom SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Txcom SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Txcom SA based on analysis of Txcom SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Txcom SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Txcom SA's related companies.
 2022 2023 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03930.02550.0294
Price To Sales Ratio0.851.481.22

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Additional Tools for Txcom Stock Analysis

When running Txcom SA's price analysis, check to measure Txcom SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Txcom SA is operating at the current time. Most of Txcom SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Txcom SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Txcom SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Txcom SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.