Amgen Cdr Stock Price Patterns
| AMGN Stock | 27.55 1.94 7.58% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Amgen CDR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amgen CDR from the perspective of Amgen CDR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Amgen CDR to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Amgen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Amgen CDR after-hype prediction price | CAD 27.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Amgen |
Amgen CDR After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amgen CDR at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amgen CDR or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Amgen CDR, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amgen CDR Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amgen CDR's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amgen CDR's historical news coverage. Amgen CDR's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.33 and 29.53, respectively. We have considered Amgen CDR's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amgen CDR is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amgen CDR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amgen CDR Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Amgen CDR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amgen CDR backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amgen CDR, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.10 | 0.12 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.55 | 27.43 | 0.44 |
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Amgen CDR Hype Timeline
Amgen CDR is presently traded for 27.55on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Amgen is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Amgen CDR is about 2837.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.56. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.94. Amgen CDR had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Amgen CDR Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Amgen CDR Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amgen CDR's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amgen CDR's future price movements. Getting to know how Amgen CDR's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amgen CDR may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LLY | Eli Lilly and | 0.79 | 9 per month | 1.53 | 0.15 | 3.92 | (2.81) | 8.36 | |
| JNJ | Johnson Johnson CDR | 0.93 | 2 per month | 0.60 | 0.25 | 2.10 | (1.47) | 6.04 | |
| AMGN | Amgen CDR | (0.83) | 1 per month | 1.72 | 0.04 | 4.04 | (3.38) | 8.71 | |
| XHB | iShares Canadian HYBrid | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.14 | (0.30) | 0.25 | (0.25) | 0.85 | |
| ERE-UN | European Residential Real | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.71 | 0.06 | 1.82 | (1.80) | 4.43 | |
| CLU | iShares Fundamental Hedged | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.40 | 0.08 | 1.24 | (0.89) | 2.47 | |
| RUDB | RBC Discount Bond | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.45 | (0.72) | 1.56 | |
| BN-PFI | Brookfield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.29 | (0.11) | 0.59 | (0.60) | 1.58 | |
| XTOT | iShares Core SP | (0.24) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.25 | (1.29) | 5.08 | |
| XEG | iShares SPTSX Capped | 0.10 | 5 per month | 1.12 | 0.17 | 2.22 | (1.49) | 5.88 |
Amgen CDR Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amgen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amgen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amgen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Amgen CDR Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Amgen CDR stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Amgen CDR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Amgen CDR based on analysis of Amgen CDR hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Amgen CDR's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Amgen CDR's related companies.
Pair Trading with Amgen CDR
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Amgen CDR position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Amgen CDR will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Amgen Stock
| 0.65 | DR | Medical Facilities | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | HSTR | Heliostar Metals | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | PJX | PJX Resources | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | MRK | Merck | PairCorr |
| 0.52 | AUUA | Aluula Composites Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | GMA | Geomega Resources | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Amgen CDR could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Amgen CDR when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Amgen CDR - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Amgen CDR to buy it.
The correlation of Amgen CDR is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Amgen CDR moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Amgen CDR moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Amgen CDR can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Amgen Stock
Amgen CDR financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amgen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amgen with respect to the benefits of owning Amgen CDR security.