Agf American Growth Fund Price Prediction
| AMGR Fund | 25.39 0.45 1.74% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AGF American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AGF American Growth from the perspective of AGF American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AGF American to buy its fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AGF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AGF American after-hype prediction price | CAD 25.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AGF |
AGF American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of AGF American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AGF American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of AGF American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AGF American Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as AGF American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AGF American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AGF American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.47 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.39 | 25.39 | 0.00 |
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AGF American Hype Timeline
AGF American Growth is presently traded for 25.39on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. AGF is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on AGF American is about 2876.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.40. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.AGF American Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AGF American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AGF American's future price movements. Getting to know how AGF American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AGF American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMGR | AGF American Growth | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 3.07 | (1.74) | 3.98 | |
| 0P0001GZLR | Fidelity Canadian Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | 0.04 | 1.42 | (1.91) | 4.66 | |
| NBQC | NBI Quebec Growth | (0.15) | 1 per month | 0.76 | 0.03 | 1.51 | (1.39) | 3.87 | |
| MFC650 | Mackenzie Canadian Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.85 | (1.24) | 2.84 | |
| 0P0000WJLC | IG Putnam Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.51 | (1.85) | 5.42 | |
| FTHI | Fidelity Tactical High | 0.08 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.41 | (1.39) | 6.80 | |
| GLDE | Ninepoint Gold and | 0.53 | 6 per month | 1.34 | 0.24 | 3.81 | (2.92) | 7.70 | |
| 0P00007694 | Fidelity ClearPath 2045 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | 0.02 | 1.20 | (1.17) | 14.64 | |
| 0P000070OO | FRIQUE Balanced Portfolio | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.37 | (0.12) | 0.64 | (0.60) | 1.75 |
AGF American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AGF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AGF using various technical indicators. When you analyze AGF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pair Trading with AGF American
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AGF American position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AGF American will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to AGF American could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AGF American when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AGF American - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AGF American Growth to buy it.
The correlation of AGF American is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AGF American moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AGF American Growth moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AGF American can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.| Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes | |
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