Alstom SA (Germany) Price Patterns
| AOMD Stock | EUR 29.48 0.74 2.57% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.624 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 |
Using Alstom SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alstom SA from the perspective of Alstom SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Alstom SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Alstom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Alstom SA after-hype prediction price | EUR 29.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Alstom |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alstom SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alstom SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alstom SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alstom SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alstom SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alstom SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alstom SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alstom SA's historical news coverage. Alstom SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.65 and 32.01, respectively. We have considered Alstom SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alstom SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alstom SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alstom SA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alstom SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alstom SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alstom SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 2.18 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
29.48 | 29.83 | 1.19 |
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Alstom SA Hype Timeline
Alstom SA is presently traded for 29.48on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.35, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Alstom is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 29.83 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 1.19%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Alstom SA is about 9.223372036854776E16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.48. The company reported the revenue of 18.49 B. Net Income was 149 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.36 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Alstom SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Alstom SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alstom SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alstom SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Alstom SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alstom SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PQ9 | BANK MANDIRI | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.0004 | 4.55 | (4.35) | 9.31 | |
| PQ9 | PT Bank Mandiri | 0.04 | 1 per month | 5.74 | 0.04 | 17.39 | (14.29) | 40.26 | |
| PQ9 | BANK MANDIRI | 0.00 | 3 per month | 2.78 | 0.07 | 5.00 | (4.76) | 26.79 | |
| PQ9 | BANK MANDIRI | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4.00 | 0.00 | 24.58 | |
| BYRA | BANK RAKYAT IND | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.00 | (5.00) | 35.71 | |
| BYRA | BANK RAKYAT IND | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.88 | (5.56) | 12.13 | |
| BYRA | PT Bank Rakyat | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.55 | 0 | 11.11 | (10.00) | 26.67 | |
| BYRA | PT Bank Rakyat | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.16 | 0.02 | 5.88 | (5.56) | 17.03 | |
| BZG2 | BANK CENTRAL ASIA | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | (2.44) | 10.33 | |
| BZG2 | PT Bank Central | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 7.14 | (6.98) | 20.00 |
Alstom SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alstom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alstom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alstom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Alstom SA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Alstom SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Alstom SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alstom SA based on analysis of Alstom SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Alstom SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Alstom SA's related companies.
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Complementary Tools for Alstom Stock analysis
When running Alstom SA's price analysis, check to measure Alstom SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alstom SA is operating at the current time. Most of Alstom SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alstom SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alstom SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alstom SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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