Appian Corp Stock Price Patterns
| APPN Stock | USD 26.33 1.39 5.57% |
Momentum 32
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Appian Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Appian Corp from the perspective of Appian Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Appian Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Appian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Appian Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 26.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Appian Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Appian Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Appian Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Appian Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Appian Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Appian Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Appian Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Appian Corp's historical news coverage. Appian Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.19 and 29.55, respectively. We have considered Appian Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Appian Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Appian Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Appian Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Appian Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Appian Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Appian Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.66 | 3.18 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
26.33 | 26.37 | 0.11 |
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Appian Corp Hype Timeline
Appian Corp is presently traded for 26.33. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.07. Appian is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 26.37 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.66%. The volatility of related hype on Appian Corp is about 3212.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.26. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 726.94 M. Net Income was 1.23 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 527.34 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Appian Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Appian Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Appian Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Appian Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Appian Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Appian Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EVCM | EverCommerce | (0.10) | 11 per month | 3.13 | 0.11 | 4.95 | (4.86) | 20.26 | |
| CSGS | CSG Systems International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.23 | (0.18) | 0.47 | (0.55) | 3.33 | |
| TDC | Teradata Corp | (0.80) | 8 per month | 3.28 | 0.04 | 4.38 | (3.77) | 41.05 | |
| PAYO | Payoneer Global | 0.27 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.17 | (3.95) | 17.28 | |
| MQ | Marqeta | 0.42 | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.60 | (3.61) | 9.53 | |
| NP | Neptune Insurance Holdings | 0.71 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.87 | (6.68) | 27.65 | |
| DBD | Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.51 | 0.17 | 3.07 | (2.62) | 8.52 | |
| PGY | Pagaya Technologies | (1.26) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 8.02 | (8.21) | 35.83 | |
| NTCT | NetScout Systems | (0.23) | 7 per month | 1.56 | 0.06 | 2.63 | (2.24) | 9.24 | |
| ODD | ODDITY Tech Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 4.52 | (5.70) | 13.33 |
Appian Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Appian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Appian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Appian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Appian Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Appian Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Appian Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Appian Corp based on analysis of Appian Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Appian Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Appian Corp's related companies.
Pair Trading with Appian Corp
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Appian Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Appian Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Appian Stock
| 0.62 | S | SentinelOne | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | AI | C3 Ai Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | BB | BlackBerry | PairCorr |
| 0.93 | ZS | Zscaler Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
Moving against Appian Stock
| 0.79 | OS | OneStream Class A Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | GROV | Virgin Group Acquisition | PairCorr |
| 0.4 | ALLIX | Wallix Group SA | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Appian Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Appian Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Appian Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Appian Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Appian Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Appian Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Appian Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Appian Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Appian Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Appian Stock, please use our How to Invest in Appian Corp guide.You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Will Systems Software sector continue expanding? Could Appian diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Appian Corp. If investors know Appian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Appian Corp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of Appian Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Appian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Appian Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Appian Corp's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Appian Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Appian Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Appian Corp's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Appian Corp represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Appian Corp's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.