Altus Group Limited Stock Price Patterns
| ASGTF Stock | USD 29.93 0.11 0.37% |
Momentum 24
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Altus Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Altus Group Limited from the perspective of Altus Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Altus Group to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Altus because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Altus Group after-hype prediction price | USD 29.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Altus |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altus Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Altus Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Altus Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Altus Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Altus Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Altus Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Altus Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Altus Group's historical news coverage. Altus Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.80 and 32.06, respectively. We have considered Altus Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Altus Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Altus Group Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Altus Group Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Altus Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Altus Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Altus Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.13 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
29.93 | 29.93 | 0.00 |
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Altus Group Hype Timeline
Altus Group Limited is presently traded for 29.93. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Altus is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Altus Group is about 4385.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.94. About 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Altus Group was presently reported as 12.95. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Altus Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Altus Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Altus Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Altus Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Altus Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Altus Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AEI | Alset Ehome International | 0.23 | 4 per month | 6.52 | 0.01 | 11.73 | (10.95) | 42.08 | |
| ASPS | Altisource Portfolio Solutions | 0.46 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.96 | (8.97) | 19.75 | |
| CHMI | Cherry Hill Mortgage | (0.03) | 10 per month | 1.53 | 0.10 | 3.52 | (2.89) | 9.35 | |
| FTHM | Fathom Holdings | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.38 | (8.91) | 32.95 | |
| LFT | Lument Finance Trust | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.92 | (6.33) | 20.44 | |
| LODE | Comstock Mining | (0.26) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.36 | (8.50) | 25.76 | |
| RFL | Rafael Holdings | (0.04) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.92 | (3.28) | 31.43 |
Altus Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Altus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Altus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Altus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Altus Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Altus Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Altus Group Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Altus Group based on analysis of Altus Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Altus Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Altus Group's related companies.
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Complementary Tools for Altus Pink Sheet analysis
When running Altus Group's price analysis, check to measure Altus Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altus Group is operating at the current time. Most of Altus Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altus Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altus Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altus Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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