Altigen Communications Stock Price Prediction

ATGN Stock  USD 0.44  0.01  2.33%   
As of today, the value of RSI of Altigen Communications' share price is approaching 34. This suggests that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Altigen Communications, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 34

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Altigen Communications stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Altigen Communications shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Altigen Communications' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Altigen Communications and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Altigen Communications' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Altigen Communications, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Altigen Communications based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Altigen Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Altigen Communications from the perspective of Altigen Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Altigen Communications. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Altigen Communications to buy its otc stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Altigen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell otc stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Altigen Communications after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.44  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Altigen Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.414.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.464.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.370.490.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Altigen Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Altigen Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Altigen Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Altigen Communications.

Altigen Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Altigen Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Altigen Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Altigen Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Altigen Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Altigen Communications' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Altigen Communications' historical news coverage. Altigen Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 4.49, respectively. We have considered Altigen Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.44
0.44
After-hype Price
4.49
Upside
Altigen Communications is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Altigen Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.

Altigen Communications OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Altigen Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Altigen Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Altigen Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.53 
4.05
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.44
0.44
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Altigen Communications Hype Timeline

Altigen Communications is presently traded for 0.44. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Altigen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on Altigen Communications is about 19212.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.43. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Altigen Communications recorded a loss per share of 0.02. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Altigen Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Altigen Communications Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Altigen Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Altigen Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Altigen Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Altigen Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
KPIFFEdgewater Wireless Systems(0.03)2 per month 0.00 (0.03) 9.78 (9.22) 31.83 
BNSOFBonso Electronics International 0.00 0 per month 3.23  0.01  6.48 (7.73) 28.09 
ZDGGFZOO Digital Group(0.09)4 per month 0.00 (0.03) 0.00  0.00  69.64 
CYCACytta Corp(0.01)1 per month 4.63  0.12  29.17 (23.08) 14,930 
ROBOFRoboGroup TEK 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21) 0.00  0.00  99.00 
RBCNRubicon Technology 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 4.81 (6.80) 27.59 
CRCWCrypto Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 10.00 (25.00) 66.67 
EVRCEvercel 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HMBLHumbl Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.02  0.00 (33.33) 133.33 
ADCOFAdcore Inc(0.09)8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 5.88 (8.33) 41.11 

Altigen Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Altigen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Altigen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Altigen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Altigen Communications Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Altigen Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Altigen Communications, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Altigen Communications based on analysis of Altigen Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Altigen Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Altigen Communications's related companies.

Pair Trading with Altigen Communications

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Altigen Communications position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Altigen Communications will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Altigen OTC Stock

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Moving against Altigen OTC Stock

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  0.67PHJMF PT Hanjaya MandalaPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Altigen Communications could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Altigen Communications when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Altigen Communications - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Altigen Communications to buy it.
The correlation of Altigen Communications is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Altigen Communications moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Altigen Communications moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Altigen Communications can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Altigen OTC Stock

Altigen Communications financial ratios help investors to determine whether Altigen OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Altigen with respect to the benefits of owning Altigen Communications security.