Atlanticus Holdings Corp Preferred Stock Price Prediction

ATLCP Preferred Stock  USD 23.77  0.12  0.50%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Atlanticus Holdings' the preferred stock price is slightly above 65. This suggests that the preferred stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Atlanticus, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

65

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Atlanticus Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Atlanticus Holdings Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Atlanticus Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atlanticus Holdings Corp from the perspective of Atlanticus Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Atlanticus Holdings to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Atlanticus because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Atlanticus Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 23.77  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Atlanticus Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Atlanticus Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in Atlanticus Holdings guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlanticus Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.8923.5024.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.2123.8324.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.2523.6424.03
Details

Atlanticus Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Atlanticus Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atlanticus Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Atlanticus Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Atlanticus Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Atlanticus Holdings' preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atlanticus Holdings' historical news coverage. Atlanticus Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.16 and 24.38, respectively. We have considered Atlanticus Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
23.77
23.77
After-hype Price
24.38
Upside
Atlanticus Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atlanticus Holdings Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Atlanticus Holdings Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Atlanticus Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atlanticus Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atlanticus Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
0.61
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.77
23.77
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Atlanticus Holdings Hype Timeline

Atlanticus Holdings Corp is presently traded for 23.77. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Atlanticus is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Atlanticus Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.77. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.61. Atlanticus Holdings Corp last dividend was issued on the 30th of November 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Atlanticus Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Atlanticus Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in Atlanticus Holdings guide.

Atlanticus Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Atlanticus Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atlanticus Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Atlanticus Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atlanticus Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Atlanticus Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Atlanticus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atlanticus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atlanticus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Atlanticus Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Atlanticus Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Atlanticus Holdings Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Atlanticus Holdings based on analysis of Atlanticus Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Atlanticus Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Atlanticus Holdings's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Atlanticus Holdings

The number of cover stories for Atlanticus Holdings depends on current market conditions and Atlanticus Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Atlanticus Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Atlanticus Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Atlanticus Holdings Short Properties

Atlanticus Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Atlanticus Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Atlanticus Holdings Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Atlanticus Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atlanticus Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments409.7 M

Additional Tools for Atlanticus Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Atlanticus Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Atlanticus Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atlanticus Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Atlanticus Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atlanticus Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atlanticus Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atlanticus Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.