Blackberry Stock Price Prediction

BB Stock  USD 2.31  0.04  1.70%   
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of BlackBerry's share price is approaching 42 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BlackBerry, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

42

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of BlackBerry's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BlackBerry, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting BlackBerry's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.02)
Wall Street Target Price
3.2513
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.098
Using BlackBerry hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BlackBerry from the perspective of BlackBerry response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

BlackBerry Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to BlackBerry's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BlackBerry. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BlackBerry can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BlackBerry. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BlackBerry's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BlackBerry.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BlackBerry to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BlackBerry because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

BlackBerry after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out BlackBerry Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade BlackBerry Stock refer to our How to Trade BlackBerry Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.994.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
02.394.78
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.785.255.83
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.02-0.00870.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BlackBerry. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BlackBerry's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BlackBerry's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BlackBerry.

BlackBerry After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BlackBerry at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BlackBerry or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BlackBerry, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BlackBerry Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BlackBerry's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BlackBerry's historical news coverage. BlackBerry's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 4.70, respectively. We have considered BlackBerry's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.31
2.31
After-hype Price
4.70
Upside
BlackBerry is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BlackBerry is based on 3 months time horizon.

BlackBerry Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BlackBerry is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BlackBerry backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BlackBerry, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
2.39
 0.00  
  0.04 
12 Events / Month
12 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.31
2.31
0.00 
1,992  
Notes

BlackBerry Hype Timeline

As of November 21, 2024 BlackBerry is listed for 2.31. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. BlackBerry is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on BlackBerry is about 226.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.35. About 46.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BlackBerry has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.13. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.23. The firm last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2010. BlackBerry had 3:1 split on the 21st of August 2007. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out BlackBerry Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade BlackBerry Stock refer to our How to Trade BlackBerry Stock guide.

BlackBerry Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BlackBerry's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BlackBerry's future price movements. Getting to know how BlackBerry's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BlackBerry may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AFRMAffirm Holdings 9.60 10 per month 2.64  0.20  10.53 (4.96) 40.34 
SQBlock Inc(0.48)8 per month 1.63  0.16  4.62 (2.94) 14.65 
PATHUipath Inc(0.02)12 per month 2.57  0.01  4.08 (3.82) 12.04 
TOSTToast Inc 0.73 9 per month 1.69  0.27  4.36 (3.44) 16.64 
NETCloudflare 2.74 9 per month 1.88  0.07  5.04 (3.44) 13.45 
DLODlocal(0.41)8 per month 2.26  0.09  6.30 (3.98) 15.87 
GCTGigaCloud Technology Class 1.39 11 per month 5.05  0.03  9.70 (7.70) 30.15 
MOGOMogo Inc(0.07)6 per month 2.58  0.04  10.31 (5.30) 32.16 
MSFTMicrosoft(1.40)8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.08 (2.03) 8.19 
PANWPalo Alto Networks 2.26 10 per month 1.79  0.01  2.22 (2.51) 9.85 
ADBEAdobe Systems Incorporated(0.68)7 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.87 (2.89) 10.09 
ALARAlarum Technologies(0.92)4 per month 0.00 (0.06) 12.80 (9.94) 48.00 
ARQQArqit Quantum 0.25 2 per month 8.56  0.02  19.19 (13.79) 58.48 
SPLKSplunk Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.70  0.04  4.36 (3.33) 10.70 
NTNXNutanix 0.74 11 per month 1.48  0.11  3.95 (2.81) 25.02 
ZSZscaler 3.25 13 per month 3.74 (0.01) 3.73 (3.37) 20.36 
OKTAOkta Inc 0.96 12 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.24 (3.42) 19.60 

BlackBerry Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BlackBerry price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BlackBerry using various technical indicators. When you analyze BlackBerry charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About BlackBerry Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of BlackBerry stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BlackBerry, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BlackBerry based on analysis of BlackBerry hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BlackBerry's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BlackBerry's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield4.54E-44.03E-4
Price To Sales Ratio1.911.81

Story Coverage note for BlackBerry

The number of cover stories for BlackBerry depends on current market conditions and BlackBerry's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BlackBerry is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BlackBerry's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

BlackBerry Short Properties

BlackBerry's future price predictability will typically decrease when BlackBerry's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BlackBerry often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BlackBerry's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BlackBerry's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding584.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments262 M

Complementary Tools for BlackBerry Stock analysis

When running BlackBerry's price analysis, check to measure BlackBerry's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BlackBerry is operating at the current time. Most of BlackBerry's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BlackBerry's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BlackBerry's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BlackBerry to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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