Bank Of Communications Stock Price Prediction
| BCMXY Stock | USD 18.09 0.41 2.22% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
80
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bank of Communications Co hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank of Communications from the perspective of Bank of Communications Co response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bank of Communications Co to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bank of Communications Co after-hype prediction price | USD 18.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bank |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank of Communications Co's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bank of Communications Co After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bank of Communications Co at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank of Communications Co or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Bank of Communications Co, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bank of Communications Co Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bank of Communications Co's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank of Communications Co's historical news coverage. Bank of Communications Co's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.39 and 21.79, respectively. We have considered Bank of Communications Co's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bank of Communications Co is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank of Communications Co is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bank of Communications Co Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank of Communications Co is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank of Communications Co backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank of Communications Co, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 3.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.09 | 18.09 | 0.00 |
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Bank of Communications Co Hype Timeline
Bank of Communications Co is currently traded for 18.09. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bank is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bank of Communications Co is about 13875.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.09. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bank of Communications Co has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.38. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of July 2022. The firm had 1:1 split on the 11th of August 2011. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Bank of Communications Co Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bank of Communications Co Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bank of Communications Co's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank of Communications Co's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank of Communications Co's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank of Communications Co may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BACHY | Bank of China | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.17 | (0.04) | 3.81 | (3.02) | 12.97 | |
| BAC-PE | Bank of America | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.51 | (0.16) | 0.71 | (0.83) | 2.60 | |
| ANZGF | ANZ Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.78 | 0.03 | 5.48 | (5.35) | 18.27 | |
| AAVMY | ABN AMRO Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.24 | (2.68) | 6.49 | |
| BBVA | Banco Bilbao Viscaya | 0.16 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.94 | (3.21) | 11.46 | |
| BCS | Barclays PLC ADR | 0.07 | 9 per month | 2.14 | (0) | 3.35 | (3.62) | 10.17 | |
| ING | ING Group NV | (0.05) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 1.44 | (2.37) | 7.23 | |
| BCDRF | Banco Santander SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.68 | (8.20) | 16.67 | |
| HSBC | HSBC Holdings PLC | 0.06 | 7 per month | 1.39 | (0.01) | 2.03 | (2.34) | 6.87 |
Bank of Communications Co Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bank of Communications Co Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bank of Communications Co stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bank of Communications, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bank of Communications Co based on analysis of Bank of Communications Co hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bank of Communications Co's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bank of Communications Co's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Bank of Communications Co
The number of cover stories for Bank of Communications Co depends on current market conditions and Bank of Communications Co's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank of Communications Co is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank of Communications Co's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bank of Communications Co Short Properties
Bank of Communications Co's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank of Communications Co's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank of Communications often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank of Communications Co's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank of Communications Co's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.3 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 44.5 B |
Additional Tools for Bank Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Bank of Communications Co's price analysis, check to measure Bank of Communications Co's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank of Communications Co is operating at the current time. Most of Bank of Communications Co's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank of Communications Co's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank of Communications Co's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank of Communications Co to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.