Northern Lights Etf Price Patterns
| BIBL Etf | USD 49.06 1.56 3.28% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Northern Lights hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Northern Lights from the perspective of Northern Lights response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Northern Lights using Northern Lights' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Northern using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Northern Lights' stock price.
Northern Lights Implied Volatility | 0.28 |
Northern Lights' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Northern Lights stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Northern Lights' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Northern Lights stock will not fluctuate a lot when Northern Lights' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Northern Lights to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Northern because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Northern Lights after-hype prediction price | USD 49.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Northern contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Northern Lights will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0175% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Northern Lights trading at USD 49.06, that is roughly USD 0.008586 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Northern Lights' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Northern Lights options at the current volatility level of 0.28%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Northern | Build AI portfolio with Northern Etf |
Northern Lights After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Northern Lights at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Northern Lights or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Northern Lights, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Northern Lights Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Northern Lights' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Northern Lights' historical news coverage. Northern Lights' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.10 and 50.14, respectively. We have considered Northern Lights' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Northern Lights is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Northern Lights is based on 3 months time horizon.
Northern Lights Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Northern Lights is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northern Lights backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Northern Lights, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.02 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
49.06 | 49.12 | 0.12 |
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Northern Lights Hype Timeline
Northern Lights is currently traded for 49.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Northern is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 49.12 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Northern Lights is about 366.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.02. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Northern Lights Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Northern Lights Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Northern Lights' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Northern Lights' future price movements. Getting to know how Northern Lights' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Northern Lights may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GFEB | First Trust Exchange Traded | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.18 | (0.17) | 0.52 | (0.43) | 1.46 | |
| QMOM | Alpha Architect Quantitative | 0.28 | 3 per month | 1.68 | (0.02) | 1.99 | (3.31) | 6.14 | |
| FTXL | First Trust Nasdaq | (3.00) | 4 per month | 2.22 | 0.09 | 4.59 | (4.36) | 9.34 | |
| BAPR | Innovator SP 500 | 0.11 | 2 per month | 0.16 | (0.22) | 0.49 | (0.36) | 1.26 | |
| DNOV | FT Cboe Vest | (0.20) | 3 per month | 0.16 | (0.1) | 0.53 | (0.48) | 2.46 | |
| FIXT | TCW ETF Trust | (0.09) | 1 per month | 0.16 | (0.39) | 0.29 | (0.26) | 1.00 | |
| GJUN | First Trust Exchange Traded | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.11 | (0.24) | 0.43 | (0.33) | 1.40 | |
| BBLU | Ea Bridgeway Blue | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.63 | (0.1) | 1.20 | (1.17) | 3.03 | |
| RSSB | Return Stacked Global | 0.07 | 4 per month | 0.96 | (0.02) | 1.33 | (1.29) | 5.85 | |
| DJAN | First Trust Exchange Traded | 0.04 | 3 per month | 0.27 | (0.15) | 0.60 | (0.51) | 2.07 |
Northern Lights Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Northern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Northern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Northern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Northern Lights Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Northern Lights stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Northern Lights, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Northern Lights based on analysis of Northern Lights hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Northern Lights's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Northern Lights's related companies.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Northern Lights Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Northern Lights's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Northern's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Northern Lights' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Northern Lights' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Northern Lights' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Northern Lights should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Northern Lights' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.