Proshares Bitcoin Strategy Etf Price Patterns
| BITO Etf | USD 11.60 0.06 0.51% |
Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ProShares Bitcoin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ProShares Bitcoin Strategy from the perspective of ProShares Bitcoin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ProShares Bitcoin using ProShares Bitcoin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ProShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ProShares Bitcoin's stock price.
ProShares Bitcoin Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
ProShares Bitcoin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ProShares Bitcoin Strategy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ProShares Bitcoin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ProShares Bitcoin stock will not fluctuate a lot when ProShares Bitcoin's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ProShares Bitcoin to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ProShares because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ProShares Bitcoin after-hype prediction price | USD 11.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ProShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ProShares Bitcoin Strategy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0394% per day over the life of the 2026-03-31 option contract. With ProShares Bitcoin trading at USD 11.6, that is roughly USD 0.004567 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ProShares Bitcoin's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ProShares Bitcoin Strategy options at the current volatility level of 0.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
ProShares | Build AI portfolio with ProShares Etf |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProShares Bitcoin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ProShares Bitcoin After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ProShares Bitcoin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ProShares Bitcoin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of ProShares Bitcoin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ProShares Bitcoin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ProShares Bitcoin's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ProShares Bitcoin's historical news coverage. ProShares Bitcoin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.75 and 14.41, respectively. We have considered ProShares Bitcoin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ProShares Bitcoin is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProShares Bitcoin is based on 3 months time horizon.
ProShares Bitcoin Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as ProShares Bitcoin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ProShares Bitcoin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ProShares Bitcoin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.83 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.60 | 11.58 | 0.17 |
|
ProShares Bitcoin Hype Timeline
ProShares Bitcoin is currently traded for 11.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. ProShares is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.37%. The volatility of related hype on ProShares Bitcoin is about 4421.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.58. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out ProShares Bitcoin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ProShares Bitcoin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ProShares Bitcoin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ProShares Bitcoin's future price movements. Getting to know how ProShares Bitcoin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ProShares Bitcoin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IWX | iShares Russell Top | 0.18 | 5 per month | 0.43 | 0.09 | 1.22 | (0.96) | 2.70 | |
| CGBL | Capital Group Core | (0.16) | 3 per month | 0.46 | 0.01 | 0.86 | (0.89) | 2.29 | |
| VNJTX | Vanguard New Jersey | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.40) | 0.18 | (0.09) | 0.79 | |
| IVLU | iShares Edge MSCI | (0.23) | 2 per month | 0.44 | 0.22 | 1.31 | (1.20) | 3.34 | |
| NUGO | Nuveen Growth Opportunities | 0.02 | 4 per month | 1.44 | (0.04) | 1.48 | (2.27) | 5.84 | |
| EVTR | Morgan Stanley ETF | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.12 | (0.32) | 0.25 | (0.25) | 0.64 | |
| EPI | WisdomTree India Earnings | (0.25) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.03 | (1.16) | 3.82 | |
| SBIL | Simplify Exchange Traded | (0.13) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.78) | 0.04 | (0.01) | 0.65 | |
| AOR | iShares Core Growth | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.38 | (0.02) | 0.75 | (0.73) | 2.09 | |
| EWU | iShares MSCI United | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.46 | 0.13 | 1.35 | (1.06) | 2.97 |
ProShares Bitcoin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ProShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ProShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze ProShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ProShares Bitcoin Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ProShares Bitcoin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ProShares Bitcoin Strategy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ProShares Bitcoin based on analysis of ProShares Bitcoin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ProShares Bitcoin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ProShares Bitcoin's related companies.
Pair Trading with ProShares Bitcoin
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ProShares Bitcoin position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares Bitcoin will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with ProShares Etf
| 1.0 | GBTC | Grayscale Bitcoin Trust | PairCorr |
| 0.94 | BTC | Grayscale Bitcoin Mini | PairCorr |
| 0.99 | BTF | Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy | PairCorr |
Moving against ProShares Etf
| 0.76 | MRK | Merck Company Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | JNJ | Johnson Johnson Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | CSCO | Cisco Systems Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | DD | Dupont De Nemours | PairCorr |
| 0.6 | PFE | Pfizer Inc Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | KO | Coca Cola Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to ProShares Bitcoin could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ProShares Bitcoin when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ProShares Bitcoin - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ProShares Bitcoin Strategy to buy it.
The correlation of ProShares Bitcoin is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ProShares Bitcoin moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ProShares Bitcoin moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ProShares Bitcoin can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out ProShares Bitcoin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
The market value of ProShares Bitcoin is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares Bitcoin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares Bitcoin's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because ProShares Bitcoin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares Bitcoin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between ProShares Bitcoin's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding ProShares Bitcoin should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, ProShares Bitcoin's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.