Banco BTG (Brazil) Price Prediction
| BPAC11 Stock | BRL 33.19 0.94 2.75% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Banco BTG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Banco BTG Pactual from the perspective of Banco BTG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Banco BTG to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Banco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Banco BTG after-hype prediction price | BRL 33.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Banco |
Banco BTG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Banco BTG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Banco BTG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Banco BTG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Banco BTG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Banco BTG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Banco BTG's historical news coverage. Banco BTG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.72 and 34.66, respectively. We have considered Banco BTG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Banco BTG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Banco BTG Pactual is based on 3 months time horizon.
Banco BTG Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Banco BTG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Banco BTG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Banco BTG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.19 | 33.19 | 0.00 |
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Banco BTG Hype Timeline
Banco BTG Pactual is currently traded for 33.19on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Banco is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Banco BTG is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.19. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.65. Banco BTG Pactual last dividend was issued on the 5th of January 2023. The entity had 4:1 split on the 1st of July 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Banco BTG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Banco BTG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Banco BTG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Banco BTG's future price movements. Getting to know how Banco BTG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Banco BTG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| B3SA3 | B3 SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 1.88 | (3.24) | 7.96 | |
| PRIO3 | Petro Rio SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.44 | (3.12) | 9.24 | |
| BPAN4 | Banco Pan SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 2.71 | (3.54) | 10.98 | |
| ENEV3 | Eneva SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.82 | (2.13) | 5.80 | |
| CSAN3 | Cosan SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 3.68 | (3.25) | 8.20 |
Banco BTG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Banco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Banco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Banco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Banco BTG Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Banco BTG stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Banco BTG Pactual, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Banco BTG based on analysis of Banco BTG hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Banco BTG's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Banco BTG's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Banco BTG
The number of cover stories for Banco BTG depends on current market conditions and Banco BTG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Banco BTG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Banco BTG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Banco BTG Short Properties
Banco BTG's future price predictability will typically decrease when Banco BTG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Banco BTG Pactual often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Banco BTG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco BTG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Banco Stock analysis
When running Banco BTG's price analysis, check to measure Banco BTG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banco BTG is operating at the current time. Most of Banco BTG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banco BTG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banco BTG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banco BTG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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