Coinshares Bitcoin And Etf Price Patterns
| BTF Etf | USD 21.42 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using CoinShares Bitcoin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CoinShares Bitcoin and from the perspective of CoinShares Bitcoin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CoinShares Bitcoin using CoinShares Bitcoin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CoinShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CoinShares Bitcoin's stock price.
CoinShares Bitcoin Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
CoinShares Bitcoin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CoinShares Bitcoin and stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CoinShares Bitcoin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CoinShares Bitcoin stock will not fluctuate a lot when CoinShares Bitcoin's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CoinShares Bitcoin to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CoinShares because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CoinShares Bitcoin after-hype prediction price | USD 21.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CoinShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CoinShares Bitcoin and will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With CoinShares Bitcoin trading at USD 21.42, that is roughly USD 0.007229 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CoinShares Bitcoin's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CoinShares Bitcoin and options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
CoinShares | Build AI portfolio with CoinShares Etf |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CoinShares Bitcoin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CoinShares Bitcoin After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CoinShares Bitcoin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CoinShares Bitcoin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of CoinShares Bitcoin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CoinShares Bitcoin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CoinShares Bitcoin's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CoinShares Bitcoin's historical news coverage. CoinShares Bitcoin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.87 and 24.91, respectively. We have considered CoinShares Bitcoin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CoinShares Bitcoin is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CoinShares Bitcoin and is based on 3 months time horizon.
CoinShares Bitcoin Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as CoinShares Bitcoin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CoinShares Bitcoin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CoinShares Bitcoin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 3.52 | 0.37 | 0.11 | 3 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.42 | 21.39 | 1.70 |
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CoinShares Bitcoin Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February CoinShares Bitcoin and is traded for 21.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. CoinShares is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 21.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.7%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.46%. The volatility of related hype on CoinShares Bitcoin is about 1454.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.53. About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.86. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CoinShares Bitcoin and last dividend was issued on the December 22, 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out CoinShares Bitcoin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CoinShares Bitcoin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CoinShares Bitcoin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CoinShares Bitcoin's future price movements. Getting to know how CoinShares Bitcoin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CoinShares Bitcoin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HARD | Simplify Commodities Strategy | 0.08 | 3 per month | 1.45 | 0.04 | 1.85 | (2.34) | 7.12 | |
| PSCQ | Pacer Swan SOS | 0.03 | 2 per month | 0.31 | (0.10) | 0.61 | (0.52) | 1.91 | |
| DHSB | Strategy Shares | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.34 | (0.1) | 0.47 | (0.59) | 1.69 | |
| BITS | Global X Blockchain | 2.47 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.69 | (5.82) | 15.22 | |
| GABF | Gabelli Financial Services | (0.51) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.30 | (2.30) | 5.12 | |
| AHYB | American Century ETF | 0.05 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.24 | (0.22) | 0.76 | |
| FLCV | Federated Hermes ETF | (0.08) | 1 per month | 0.45 | 0.09 | 1.53 | (0.94) | 3.34 | |
| USL | United States 12 | 0.21 | 2 per month | 1.61 | (0.0001) | 2.12 | (2.38) | 5.42 | |
| BDRY | Breakwave Dry Bulk | 0.07 | 2 per month | 2.17 | 0.14 | 4.49 | (3.99) | 11.04 | |
| CCSO | Tidal ETF Trust | 0.09 | 2 per month | 1.40 | 0.03 | 1.67 | (2.55) | 5.38 |
CoinShares Bitcoin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CoinShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CoinShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze CoinShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CoinShares Bitcoin Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CoinShares Bitcoin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CoinShares Bitcoin and, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CoinShares Bitcoin based on analysis of CoinShares Bitcoin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CoinShares Bitcoin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CoinShares Bitcoin's related companies.
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Check out CoinShares Bitcoin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
The market value of CoinShares Bitcoin and is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CoinShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CoinShares Bitcoin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CoinShares Bitcoin's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because CoinShares Bitcoin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CoinShares Bitcoin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between CoinShares Bitcoin's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CoinShares Bitcoin should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, CoinShares Bitcoin's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.