Babcock Wilcox Enterprises Stock Price Prediction
| BW Stock | USD 1.90 0.01 0.53% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.94) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.11 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.15) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.14) | Wall Street Target Price 4.625 |
Using Babcock Wilcox hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises from the perspective of Babcock Wilcox response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Babcock Wilcox to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Babcock because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Babcock Wilcox after-hype prediction price | USD 1.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Babcock |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Babcock Wilcox's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Babcock Wilcox After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Babcock Wilcox at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Babcock Wilcox or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Babcock Wilcox, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Babcock Wilcox Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Babcock Wilcox's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Babcock Wilcox's historical news coverage. Babcock Wilcox's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 8.02, respectively. We have considered Babcock Wilcox's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Babcock Wilcox is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Babcock Wilcox Enter is based on 3 months time horizon.
Babcock Wilcox Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Babcock Wilcox is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Babcock Wilcox backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Babcock Wilcox, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.77 | 6.38 | 0.26 | 1.02 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.90 | 1.64 | 13.68 |
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Babcock Wilcox Hype Timeline
As of November 24, 2024 Babcock Wilcox Enter is listed for 1.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.02. Babcock is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -13.68%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.77%. The volatility of related hype on Babcock Wilcox is about 481.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.92. About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.79. Babcock Wilcox Enter last dividend was issued on the 24th of July 2019. The entity had 1:10 split on the 24th of July 2019. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Babcock Wilcox Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Babcock Wilcox Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Babcock Wilcox's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Babcock Wilcox's future price movements. Getting to know how Babcock Wilcox's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Babcock Wilcox may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| B | Barnes Group | 0.03 | 9 per month | 1.06 | 0.1 | 2.72 | (2.10) | 13.24 | |
| CR | Crane Company | 4.27 | 10 per month | 1.69 | 0.1 | 3.45 | (2.72) | 9.45 | |
| HI | Hillenbrand | (0.68) | 8 per month | 2.57 | (0.01) | 3.79 | (4.06) | 14.46 | |
| IR | Ingersoll Rand | 0.60 | 9 per month | 1.11 | 0.06 | 3.27 | (2.10) | 7.21 | |
| PH | Parker Hannifin | 5.76 | 10 per month | 0.82 | 0.11 | 2.18 | (1.25) | 11.35 | |
| RR | Richtech Robotics Class | 0.06 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 10.40 | (11.43) | 36.95 | |
| EPAC | Enerpac Tool Group | (0.29) | 11 per month | 1.06 | 0.10 | 2.84 | (1.91) | 12.71 | |
| FELE | Franklin Electric Co | 0.39 | 11 per month | 1.44 | 0.01 | 2.34 | (1.54) | 11.41 | |
| AME | Ametek Inc | 1.79 | 9 per month | 0.76 | 0.10 | 1.32 | (1.52) | 11.22 |
Babcock Wilcox Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Babcock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Babcock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Babcock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Babcock Wilcox Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Babcock Wilcox stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Babcock Wilcox Enterprises, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Babcock Wilcox based on analysis of Babcock Wilcox hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Babcock Wilcox's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Babcock Wilcox's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0292 | 0.09 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.57 | 0.12 |
Story Coverage note for Babcock Wilcox
The number of cover stories for Babcock Wilcox depends on current market conditions and Babcock Wilcox's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Babcock Wilcox is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Babcock Wilcox's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Babcock Wilcox Short Properties
Babcock Wilcox's future price predictability will typically decrease when Babcock Wilcox's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Babcock Wilcox's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Babcock Wilcox's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 71 M |
Additional Tools for Babcock Stock Analysis
When running Babcock Wilcox's price analysis, check to measure Babcock Wilcox's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Babcock Wilcox is operating at the current time. Most of Babcock Wilcox's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Babcock Wilcox's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Babcock Wilcox's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Babcock Wilcox to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.