Etf Managers Group Etf Price Patterns
| BWET Etf | 38.80 0.63 1.60% |
Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ETF Managers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ETF Managers Group from the perspective of ETF Managers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ETF Managers using ETF Managers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ETF using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ETF Managers' stock price.
ETF Managers Implied Volatility | 0.62 |
ETF Managers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ETF Managers Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ETF Managers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ETF Managers stock will not fluctuate a lot when ETF Managers' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ETF Managers to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ETF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ETF Managers after-hype prediction price | USD 42.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ETF contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ETF Managers Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0388% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With ETF Managers trading at USD 38.8, that is roughly USD 0.015 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ETF Managers' daily price movement you should consider acquiring ETF Managers Group options at the current volatility level of 0.62%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out ETF Managers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ETF Managers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ETF Managers After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ETF Managers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ETF Managers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of ETF Managers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ETF Managers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ETF Managers' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ETF Managers' historical news coverage. ETF Managers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.77 and 47.37, respectively. We have considered ETF Managers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ETF Managers is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ETF Managers Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
ETF Managers Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as ETF Managers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ETF Managers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ETF Managers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.22 | 5.30 | 2.64 | 0.07 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
38.80 | 42.07 | 6.70 |
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ETF Managers Hype Timeline
ETF Managers Group is currently traded for 38.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.64, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. ETF is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 42.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 6.7%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.22%. The volatility of related hype on ETF Managers is about 9814.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.73. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out ETF Managers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ETF Managers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ETF Managers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ETF Managers' future price movements. Getting to know how ETF Managers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ETF Managers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FGSI | FT Vest Growth | (0.07) | 2 per month | 0.76 | (0.12) | 1.19 | (1.36) | 2.96 | |
| EGLE | Global X Funds | (0.18) | 2 per month | 0.76 | (0.14) | 1.01 | (1.37) | 3.08 | |
| WDNA | WisdomTree BioRevolution | 0.30 | 1 per month | 1.22 | 0.06 | 2.92 | (2.08) | 7.21 | |
| DESK | VanEck ETF Trust | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.01 | (1.53) | 4.51 | |
| XXCH | Direxion | 0.33 | 1 per month | 1.34 | 0.12 | 3.74 | (2.58) | 10.46 | |
| SPAM | Themes Cybersecurity ETF | 0.21 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.65 | (2.78) | 5.56 | |
| WTID | UBS ETRACS | (1.15) | 1 per month | 12.82 | (0.01) | 24.86 | (18.44) | 68.75 | |
| LGCF | Themes Cash Flow | 0.13 | 1 per month | 0.51 | 0.04 | 1.20 | (1.17) | 2.63 | |
| CPHY | Fm Compoundr High | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.46) | 0.27 | (0.19) | 0.89 | |
| XTR | Global X SP | (0.11) | 4 per month | 0.71 | (0.09) | 1.03 | (1.25) | 3.33 |
ETF Managers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ETF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ETF using various technical indicators. When you analyze ETF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ETF Managers Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ETF Managers stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ETF Managers Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ETF Managers based on analysis of ETF Managers hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ETF Managers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ETF Managers's related companies.
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Check out ETF Managers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Investors evaluate ETF Managers Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating ETF Managers' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause ETF Managers' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between ETF Managers' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding ETF Managers should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, ETF Managers' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.