CHIPOTLE MEXICAN (Germany) Price Patterns

C9F Stock  EUR 30.96  1.74  5.32%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's stock price is slightly above 68 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling CHIPOTLE, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 68

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CHIPOTLE MEXICAN, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using CHIPOTLE MEXICAN hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN from the perspective of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CHIPOTLE MEXICAN to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CHIPOTLE because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 30.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out CHIPOTLE MEXICAN Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.8636.1638.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.8129.7031.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.1933.3535.50
Details

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CHIPOTLE MEXICAN or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's historical news coverage. CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.07 and 32.85, respectively. We have considered CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
30.96
30.96
After-hype Price
32.85
Upside
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN is based on 3 months time horizon.

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CHIPOTLE MEXICAN is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CHIPOTLE MEXICAN backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CHIPOTLE MEXICAN, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
1.89
  0.02 
 0.00  
7 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
30.96
30.96
0.00 
3,780  
Notes

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN Hype Timeline

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN is currently traded for 30.96on Munich Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. CHIPOTLE is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on CHIPOTLE MEXICAN is about 50400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.96. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.97. CHIPOTLE MEXICAN had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 50:1 split on the 26th of June 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out CHIPOTLE MEXICAN Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's future price movements. Getting to know how CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CHIPOTLE MEXICAN may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PUP0PUBLIC STORAGE PRFO(0.10)2 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.57 (1.54) 7.74 
D0DDICKER DATA LTD 0.05 4 per month 0.00 (0.03) 4.27 (4.92) 11.46 
5PMAGREENX METALS LTD 0.02 5 per month 2.88  0.08  7.55 (6.12) 27.62 
IA5INDO ACIDATAMA 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0  0.00  0.00  45.00 
TWYAlibaba Health Information(0.03)5 per month 2.76  0  6.78 (5.13) 25.45 
85SScience Applications International 0.49 10 per month 2.00  0.03  4.53 (3.97) 22.13 
DOC2DOCDATA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.44 (4.65) 14.17 
MR3ITALIAN WINE BRANDS(0.40)3 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.26 (2.34) 19.56 

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CHIPOTLE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CHIPOTLE using various technical indicators. When you analyze CHIPOTLE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CHIPOTLE MEXICAN Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CHIPOTLE MEXICAN, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN based on analysis of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's related companies.

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Additional Tools for CHIPOTLE Stock Analysis

When running CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's price analysis, check to measure CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CHIPOTLE MEXICAN is operating at the current time. Most of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CHIPOTLE MEXICAN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.