Cadogan Petroleum (UK) Price Prediction
| CAD Stock | 2.40 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.545 | Wall Street Target Price 0.45 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.051 |
Using Cadogan Petroleum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cadogan Petroleum plc from the perspective of Cadogan Petroleum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cadogan Petroleum to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cadogan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cadogan Petroleum after-hype prediction price | GBX 2.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cadogan |
Cadogan Petroleum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cadogan Petroleum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cadogan Petroleum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cadogan Petroleum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cadogan Petroleum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cadogan Petroleum's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cadogan Petroleum's historical news coverage. Cadogan Petroleum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 5.56, respectively. We have considered Cadogan Petroleum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cadogan Petroleum is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cadogan Petroleum plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cadogan Petroleum Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cadogan Petroleum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cadogan Petroleum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cadogan Petroleum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 3.12 | 0.04 | 0.18 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.40 | 2.44 | 1.67 |
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Cadogan Petroleum Hype Timeline
Cadogan Petroleum plc is currently traded for 2.40on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. Cadogan is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.67%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Cadogan Petroleum is about 435.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.58. The company reported the revenue of 7.55 M. Net Income was 1.26 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.42 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Cadogan Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cadogan Petroleum Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cadogan Petroleum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cadogan Petroleum's future price movements. Getting to know how Cadogan Petroleum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cadogan Petroleum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0A1O | Zoom Video Communications | 0.97 | 4 per month | 1.41 | 0.1 | 2.67 | (2.64) | 9.20 | |
| 0KTI | Enbridge | (0.40) | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.28 | 2.19 | (1.05) | 4.60 | |
| 0Y5F | Endo International PLC | 1.58 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.49 | (1.91) | 5.20 |
Cadogan Petroleum Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cadogan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cadogan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cadogan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cadogan Petroleum Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cadogan Petroleum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cadogan Petroleum plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cadogan Petroleum based on analysis of Cadogan Petroleum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cadogan Petroleum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cadogan Petroleum's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Cadogan Petroleum
The number of cover stories for Cadogan Petroleum depends on current market conditions and Cadogan Petroleum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cadogan Petroleum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cadogan Petroleum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cadogan Petroleum Short Properties
Cadogan Petroleum's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cadogan Petroleum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cadogan Petroleum plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cadogan Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cadogan Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 244.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Cadogan Stock analysis
When running Cadogan Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Cadogan Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cadogan Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Cadogan Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cadogan Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cadogan Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cadogan Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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