Comtech Telecommunicatio (Germany) Price Patterns
| CC6 Stock | 4.98 0.32 6.87% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Comtech Telecommunicatio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Comtech Telecommunications Corp from the perspective of Comtech Telecommunicatio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Comtech Telecommunicatio to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Comtech because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Comtech Telecommunicatio after-hype prediction price | EUR 4.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Comtech |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Comtech Telecommunicatio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Comtech Telecommunicatio After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Comtech Telecommunicatio at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Comtech Telecommunicatio or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Comtech Telecommunicatio, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Comtech Telecommunicatio Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Comtech Telecommunicatio's historical news coverage. Comtech Telecommunicatio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.23 and 10.48, respectively. We have considered Comtech Telecommunicatio's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Comtech Telecommunicatio is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Comtech Telecommunicatio is based on 3 months time horizon.
Comtech Telecommunicatio Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Comtech Telecommunicatio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Comtech Telecommunicatio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Comtech Telecommunicatio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.27 | 5.86 | 0.36 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.98 | 4.62 | 7.23 |
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Comtech Telecommunicatio Hype Timeline
Comtech Telecommunicatio is currently traded for 4.98on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.36, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Comtech is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.62. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -7.23%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.27%. The volatility of related hype on Comtech Telecommunicatio is about 21975.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.95. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.91. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Comtech Telecommunicatio has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.65. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Comtech Telecommunicatio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Comtech Telecommunicatio Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Comtech Telecommunicatio's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Comtech Telecommunicatio's future price movements. Getting to know how Comtech Telecommunicatio's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Comtech Telecommunicatio may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BW8 | Spirent Communications Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| C8C | Consolidated Communications Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| D2U | DBA TELECOM | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KMBA | SK TELECOM TDADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.31 | 0.17 | 4.46 | (1.70) | 15.76 | |
| 4C6 | Hutchison Telecommunications Hong | 0.00 | 2 per month | 2.93 | 0.01 | 9.09 | (8.33) | 19.09 | |
| MF9A | Matsunichi Communications Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RCI | Rogers Communications | 0.60 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.69 | (3.47) | 9.47 | |
| FVM | Forval TelecomInc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CQD | Charter Communications | (0.84) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.67 | (4.85) | 10.58 |
Comtech Telecommunicatio Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Comtech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Comtech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Comtech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Comtech Telecommunicatio Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Comtech Telecommunicatio stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Comtech Telecommunications Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Comtech Telecommunicatio based on analysis of Comtech Telecommunicatio hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Comtech Telecommunicatio's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Comtech Telecommunicatio's related companies.
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Additional Tools for Comtech Stock Analysis
When running Comtech Telecommunicatio's price analysis, check to measure Comtech Telecommunicatio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comtech Telecommunicatio is operating at the current time. Most of Comtech Telecommunicatio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comtech Telecommunicatio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comtech Telecommunicatio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comtech Telecommunicatio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.