Cnb Financial Preferred Stock Price Patterns

CCNEP Preferred Stock  USD 24.92  0.31  1.23%   
As of today, the value of RSI of CNB Financial's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the preferred stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CNB Financial, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CNB Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CNB Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using CNB Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CNB Financial from the perspective of CNB Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CNB Financial to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CNB because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CNB Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 25.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out CNB Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in CNB Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in CNB Financial guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CNB Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.2020.9427.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.7925.5326.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.9425.0125.62
Details

CNB Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CNB Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CNB Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of CNB Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CNB Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CNB Financial's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CNB Financial's historical news coverage. CNB Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.49 and 25.97, respectively. We have considered CNB Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
24.92
25.23
After-hype Price
25.97
Upside
CNB Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CNB Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

CNB Financial Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CNB Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CNB Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CNB Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
0.74
 0.00  
  0.03 
0 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
24.92
25.23
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

CNB Financial Hype Timeline

CNB Financial is currently traded for 24.92. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. CNB is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on CNB Financial is about 201.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.95. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out CNB Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in CNB Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in CNB Financial guide.

CNB Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CNB Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CNB Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how CNB Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CNB Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BFSTBusiness First Bancshares(0.15)7 per month 1.00  0.08  2.74 (1.67) 9.04 
MBWMMercantile Bank 0.39 8 per month 0.99  0.13  3.78 (1.75) 9.88 
NBNNortheast Bancorp 0.12 8 per month 1.46  0.18  4.10 (3.27) 13.72 
AMTBAmerant Bancorp 0.07 9 per month 1.39  0.15  4.04 (2.32) 10.66 
TRSTTrustCo Bank Corp 2.43 8 per month 1.43  0.06  2.88 (1.69) 12.39 
HBTHbt Financial(0.32)7 per month 1.28  0.12  3.34 (2.92) 9.31 
EFSCEnterprise Financial Services 1.18 8 per month 1.32  0.05  2.79 (1.67) 11.05 
MCBMetropolitan Bank Holding(0.18)9 per month 1.30  0.14  3.81 (1.92) 19.32 
HTBHomeTrust Bancshares(0.57)8 per month 1.21  0.02  2.67 (2.39) 9.13 
ORRFOrrstown Financial Services 0.70 10 per month 1.60  0.04  2.79 (2.80) 9.83 

CNB Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CNB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNB using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CNB Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CNB Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CNB Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CNB Financial based on analysis of CNB Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CNB Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CNB Financial's related companies.

Pair Trading with CNB Financial

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CNB Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CNB Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with CNB Preferred Stock

  0.72CIHHF China Merchants BankPairCorr
  0.7BBDC4 Banco Bradesco SAPairCorr
  0.76BBAS3 Banco do BrasilPairCorr

Moving against CNB Preferred Stock

  0.67HDB HDFC Bank LimitedPairCorr
  0.5NDEKY Nitto Denko CorpPairCorr
  0.45CIHKY China Merchants BankPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to CNB Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CNB Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CNB Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CNB Financial to buy it.
The correlation of CNB Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CNB Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CNB Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CNB Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for CNB Preferred Stock Analysis

When running CNB Financial's price analysis, check to measure CNB Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CNB Financial is operating at the current time. Most of CNB Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CNB Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CNB Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CNB Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.