Copt Defense Properties Stock Price Prediction
| CDP Stock | 31.84 0.68 2.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.161 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.32 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.27 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.31 | Wall Street Target Price 35.2857 |
Using COPT Defense hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of COPT Defense Properties from the perspective of COPT Defense response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in COPT Defense to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying COPT because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
COPT Defense after-hype prediction price | USD 31.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
COPT |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of COPT Defense's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
COPT Defense After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of COPT Defense at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in COPT Defense or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of COPT Defense, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
COPT Defense Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting COPT Defense's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on COPT Defense's historical news coverage. COPT Defense's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.77 and 32.93, respectively. We have considered COPT Defense's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
COPT Defense is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of COPT Defense Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
COPT Defense Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as COPT Defense is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading COPT Defense backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with COPT Defense, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.08 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
31.84 | 31.85 | 0.03 |
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COPT Defense Hype Timeline
On the 24th of November COPT Defense Properties is traded for 31.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. COPT is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 31.85 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on COPT Defense is about 4320.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.84. The company reported the last year's revenue of 684.98 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (73.47 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 363.38 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out COPT Defense Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.COPT Defense Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to COPT Defense's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict COPT Defense's future price movements. Getting to know how COPT Defense's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how COPT Defense may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| O | Realty Income | (0.38) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.38 | (1.84) | 5.16 | |
| FR | First Industrial Realty | 0.43 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.49 | (1.82) | 4.74 | |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust | (0.05) | 10 per month | 1.39 | (0.08) | 2.00 | (2.54) | 4.90 | |
| PK | Park Hotels Resorts | 0.33 | 11 per month | 1.62 | (0.04) | 2.85 | (2.71) | 10.98 | |
| PW | Power REIT | 0.00 | 9 per month | 7.04 | 0 | 11.11 | (10.85) | 119.44 | |
| UE | Urban Edge Properties | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.73 | 0.07 | 1.78 | (1.57) | 4.48 | |
| WY | Weyerhaeuser | (0.53) | 12 per month | 1.30 | (0.04) | 2.28 | (2.14) | 6.98 | |
| VICI | VICI Properties | (0.22) | 9 per month | 0.91 | (0.13) | 1.18 | (1.81) | 4.66 | |
| ELME | Elme Communities | 0.21 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.31 | (2.15) | 5.49 | |
| EPRT | Essential Properties Realty | 0.17 | 9 per month | 0.94 | (0) | 1.67 | (1.77) | 4.84 |
COPT Defense Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine COPT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for COPT using various technical indicators. When you analyze COPT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About COPT Defense Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of COPT Defense stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as COPT Defense Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of COPT Defense based on analysis of COPT Defense hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to COPT Defense's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to COPT Defense's related companies.
Story Coverage note for COPT Defense
The number of cover stories for COPT Defense depends on current market conditions and COPT Defense's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that COPT Defense is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about COPT Defense's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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COPT Defense Short Properties
COPT Defense's future price predictability will typically decrease when COPT Defense's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of COPT Defense Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential COPT Defense's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. COPT Defense's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 112.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 167.8 M |
Additional Tools for COPT Stock Analysis
When running COPT Defense's price analysis, check to measure COPT Defense's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy COPT Defense is operating at the current time. Most of COPT Defense's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of COPT Defense's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move COPT Defense's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of COPT Defense to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.