Ceps PLC (UK) Price Prediction
| CEPS Stock | 35.50 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 76
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.32) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.058 |
Using Ceps PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ceps PLC from the perspective of Ceps PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ceps PLC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ceps because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ceps PLC after-hype prediction price | GBX 35.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ceps |
Ceps PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ceps PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ceps PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ceps PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ceps PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ceps PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ceps PLC's historical news coverage. Ceps PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.24 and 37.76, respectively. We have considered Ceps PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ceps PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ceps PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ceps PLC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ceps PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ceps PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ceps PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 2.26 | 0.55 | 0.35 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
35.50 | 35.50 | 0.00 |
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Ceps PLC Hype Timeline
Ceps PLC is currently traded for 35.50on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.55, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.35. Ceps is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 98.26%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ceps PLC is about 156.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.85. About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Ceps PLC was currently reported as 0.14. The company last dividend was issued on the 19th of April 1999. Ceps PLC had 250:500 split on the 11th of June 2013. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Ceps PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ceps PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ceps PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ceps PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Ceps PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ceps PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CPH2 | Clean Power Hydrogen | 0.00 | 7 per month | 1.75 | 0.06 | 4.35 | (4.17) | 32.69 | |
| 0LRK | Vulcan Materials Co | (0.38) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.12 | (2.96) | 6.27 | |
| 0R1A | Applied Materials | 4.25 | 6 per month | 2.23 | 0.15 | 4.56 | (4.16) | 11.86 | |
| MGAM | Morgan Advanced Materials | 3.00 | 7 per month | 1.72 | 0.0008 | 2.66 | (2.43) | 9.31 | |
| SYNT | Synthomer plc | 4.80 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.35 | (4.40) | 17.08 | |
| TRAF | Trafalgar New Homes | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | (9.09) | 40.00 | |
| 0HEJ | American Homes 4 | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.77 | (1.61) | 4.74 | |
| TIG | Team Internet Group | (0.15) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.94 | (4.44) | 18.33 |
Ceps PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ceps price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ceps using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ceps charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ceps PLC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ceps PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ceps PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ceps PLC based on analysis of Ceps PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ceps PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ceps PLC's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Ceps PLC
The number of cover stories for Ceps PLC depends on current market conditions and Ceps PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ceps PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ceps PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ceps PLC Short Properties
Ceps PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ceps PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ceps PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ceps PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ceps PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 677 K |
Additional Tools for Ceps Stock Analysis
When running Ceps PLC's price analysis, check to measure Ceps PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ceps PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Ceps PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ceps PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ceps PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ceps PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.