Ceps PLC (UK) Price Patterns

CEPS Stock   39.00  2.50  6.85%   
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Ceps PLC's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 18

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ceps PLC's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ceps PLC and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ceps PLC's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ceps PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ceps PLC's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.32)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.058
Using Ceps PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ceps PLC from the perspective of Ceps PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ceps PLC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ceps because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ceps PLC after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 39.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ceps PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.3537.0040.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.7840.4344.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.0137.5061.99
Details

Ceps PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ceps PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ceps PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ceps PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ceps PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ceps PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ceps PLC's historical news coverage. Ceps PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.35 and 42.65, respectively. We have considered Ceps PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
39.00
39.00
After-hype Price
42.65
Upside
Ceps PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ceps PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ceps PLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ceps PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ceps PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ceps PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
3.65
 0.00  
  102.08 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
39.00
39.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Ceps PLC Hype Timeline

Ceps PLC is currently traded for 39.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -102.08. Ceps is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ceps PLC is about 0.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -63.08. About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Ceps PLC was currently reported as 0.14. The company last dividend was issued on the 19th of April 1999. Ceps PLC had 250:500 split on the 11th of June 2013. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Ceps PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ceps PLC Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ceps PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ceps PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Ceps PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ceps PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BC94Samsung Electronics Co 14.00 5 per month 1.81  0.31  5.77 (3.80) 13.29 
SMSDSamsung Electronics Co 10.00 4 per month 1.77  0.28  5.44 (3.79) 12.16 
SMSNSamsung Electronics Co 12.00 4 per month 1.80  0.31  5.89 (3.21) 11.22 
TYTToyota Motor Corp 0.00 8 per month 1.27  0.10  3.26 (2.29) 10.55 
GTCOGuaranty Trust Holding 0.0008 5 per month 3.63  0.12  8.83 (5.20) 23.04 
0LCVTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(4.86)8 per month 1.65  0.18  4.48 (2.77) 10.72 
RIGDReliance Industries Limited(1.30)5 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.43 (2.57) 6.31 
0RUKMOL Hungarian Oil 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
0M69OTP Bank Nyrt(4,865)1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Ceps PLC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ceps price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ceps using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ceps charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ceps PLC Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ceps PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ceps PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ceps PLC based on analysis of Ceps PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ceps PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ceps PLC's related companies.

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Additional Tools for Ceps Stock Analysis

When running Ceps PLC's price analysis, check to measure Ceps PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ceps PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Ceps PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ceps PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ceps PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ceps PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.